NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	4.3 [1019]		MVP	Derrick Jones Jr. (CHI): +12.8%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.8 [838]		LVP	Christian Koloko (TOR): -10.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.00	0.06	19	69%	0.11	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	12	70%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	9	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
O.G. Anunoby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	-0.03	4	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Chris Boucher	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Christian Koloko	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	5	92%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.03	-0.06	10	60%	0.12	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	2	67%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Malcolm Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	20	67%	0.11	5	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	54%	0.08	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	25.2	14.8	28.2	2.7	31.4	131.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.6%

CHI +4.6%

CHI +11.9%

TOR -6.1%

CHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	12.8	14.4	93.3	107.8	113.4
season	14.7	14.1		114.0	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		110.9	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.8	15.9	15.7	14.7	15.0
CHI	12.4	11.8	13.7	13.6	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Flynn	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-13	12	12.9	15.3	-2.39	11.4	13.1	-1.68
Thaddeus Young	24	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-9	4	15.3	14.9	0.40	10.9	13.4	-2.47
Scottie Barnes	63	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-20	26	15.2	14.6	0.61	13.8	11.3	2.54
Dalano Banton	21	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-11	8	13.3	15.4	-2.12	12.5	12.9	-0.43
Gary Trent Jr.	72	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-12	10	14.8	15.3	-0.48	12.5	13.6	-1.06
Christian Koloko	44	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-18	22	14.7	15.2	-0.48	12.9	12.8	0.03
Juancho Hernangomez	24	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-5	-4	16.0	14.7	1.38	11.5	13.2	-1.75
Chris Boucher	31	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.06	-10	-4	-6	15.2	14.9	0.30	12.7	12.9	-0.24
Otto Porter Jr.	36	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	0	-14	15.1	14.9	0.11	12.5	13.0	-0.50
Fred VanVleet	74	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-6	-2	15.0	14.9	0.16	13.3	11.7	1.56
Precious Achiuwa	31	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.13	-16	2	-18	16.0	14.5	1.45	12.3	13.0	-0.68
O.G. Anunoby	85	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-2	-10	14.9	15.2	-0.22	13.6	9.9	3.74

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	74	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	7	0	13.1	12.1	1.02	15.1	14.5	0.62
Goran Dragic	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.16	18	-4	22	13.0	12.7	0.35	14.7	15.3	-0.69
Patrick Williams	53	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	12	-10	13.4	12.2	1.16	15.9	14.1	1.85
Alex Caruso	59	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.17	18	-4	22	12.7	13.0	-0.37	15.4	14.4	1.00
Nikola Vucevic	72	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	9	-4	13.3	11.8	1.52	15.3	14.1	1.24
Javonte Green	40	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	2	10	12.8	12.9	-0.06	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Ayo Dosunmu	58	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	17	-20	12.7	13.0	-0.25	15.2	14.7	0.43
Derrick Jones Jr.	30	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	7	0	12.1	13.1	-1.04	14.6	15.1	-0.59
Zach LaVine	72	74	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	10	-6	12.5	13.5	-0.97	14.2	17.0	-2.84
Malcolm Hill	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	2.0	12.9	-10.94	0.0	15.0	-14.98
Dalen Terry	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	2.0	12.9	-10.94	0.0	15.0	-14.98
Tony Bradley	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	2.0	12.9	-10.94	0.0	15.0	-14.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, SAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BOS 77, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIN 77, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%