NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Excitement	4.3 [981]		MVP	Martell Webster (MIN): +8.7%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	1.6 [1016]		LVP	Darko Milicic (MIN): -17.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.09	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	8	76%	0.13	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	44%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	3	43%	0.02	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	12	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.00
Kevin Love	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	9	17%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	15	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.00	0.09	15	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Adrien	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	7	44%	0.02	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	27.6	16.3	28.9	1.8	32.6	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +12.6%

GSW +3.9%

GSW +9.5%

GSW +26.8%

MIN -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	14.3	15.5	77.0	99.0	105.7
season	14.3	14.8		102.7	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	14.5	15.7	12.8	14.3
GSW	12.9	15.4	12.6	16.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lazar Hayward	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-23	23	12.4	14.4	-2.02	15.8	14.2	1.59
Nikola Pekovic	9	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-21	19	13.6	14.4	-0.84	17.4	14.0	3.40
Wayne Ellington	36	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-14	5	14.7	14.1	0.67	15.0	14.0	1.07
Kevin Love	67	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-18	13	14.4	14.1	0.30	14.3	14.4	-0.15
Luke Ridnour	58	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-14	5	14.0	14.7	-0.68	13.8	15.1	-1.30
Anthony Randolph	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	-6	-11	14.6	14.2	0.41	14.9	13.9	1.02
Anthony Tolliver	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.13	-13	-10	-3	14.0	14.6	-0.56	14.3	14.4	-0.09
Michael Beasley	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	-10	-3	14.3	14.3	0.04	13.7	15.2	-1.50
Darko Milicic	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-14	5	14.4	14.2	0.17	13.1	15.2	-2.04
Martell Webster	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	-9	-5	14.1	14.6	-0.48	15.3	13.2	2.14
Jonny Flynn	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-9	-5	14.7	14.0	0.68	15.1	13.8	1.30
Wesley Johnson	47	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-13	3	14.4	14.2	0.20	13.3	15.3	-2.00

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	60	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	7	9	13.5	15.5	-1.94	14.7	13.7	0.99
David Lee	78	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	5	13	14.0	15.3	-1.31	14.5	13.8	0.64
Dorell Wright	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	12	-1	13.9	15.0	-1.14	14.9	13.5	1.37
Stephen Curry	81	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	5	13	14.2	14.9	-0.70	14.2	14.7	-0.44
Ekpe Udoh	36	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	10	3	15.7	13.6	2.07	14.1	14.4	-0.27
Acie Law	37	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	12	-1	15.4	13.7	1.64	14.9	13.9	1.03
Andris Biedrins	26	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	18	-13	12.3	15.0	-2.68	15.2	14.0	1.19
Al Thornton	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.22	12	11	1	15.0	13.9	1.14	13.5	14.9	-1.37
Vladimir Radmanovic	23	24	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	18	-13	13.3	14.7	-1.39	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Lou Amundson	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.10	5	18	-13	15.5	13.6	1.87	13.7	14.7	-0.94
Jeff Adrien	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	15.8	14.2	1.59	12.4	14.4	-2.02
Reggie Williams	19	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	22	-21	15.3	14.1	1.21	12.4	14.7	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 93, MEM 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
GSW 86, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIN 84, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%