inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 106 Excitement6.8 [419] MVPTerry Rozier (MIA): +40.1%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback1.0 [556] LVPGary Trent Jr. (MIL): -17.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
AJ Green0.310,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.33,0.31,0.310.040.26-0.02764%0.321-0.0100%0.00
Damian Lillard0.240,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.240.270.040.071786%0.314-0.079100%0.06
Brook Lopez0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.120.070.016108%0.201-0.0200%0.00
MarJon Beauchamp0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.01856%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Taurean Prince0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.020.050.010.04671%0.031-0.012100%0.03
Delon Wright-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00442%-0.0000.00450%-0.03
Andre Jackson Jr.-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.01475%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Bobby Portis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.02-0.011537%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Gary Trent Jr.-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.11-0.07-0.00911%-0.1800.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.40.400.130.280.00989%0.462-0.0610%-0.01
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.030.04973%0.111-0.02475%-0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.02-0.00769%0.091-0.02250%-0.01
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.11-0.010.051262%0.061-0.021385%-0.01
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kel'el Ware0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00517%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00250%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.090.00940%-0.1000.00250%-0.05
Tyler Herro0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.18-0.180.04-0.190.031453%-0.161-0.02683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.22.828.416.427.32.835.2142.2
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.2134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +46.6%
MIL +0.3%
MIL +15.3%
MIA -14.3%
MIL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game17.615.114.4120.5117.0113.1
season14.415.0113.5111.5
opponent14.714.2111.8111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.416.519.020.017.6
MIA15.215.516.013.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taurean Prince60590.80-0.301.110.4213-102317.318.3-0.9414.516.3-1.78
Andre Jackson Jr.52500.77-0.271.050.4511-81917.617.7-0.1314.415.9-1.48
Brook Lopez55560.57-0.070.650.2511-81917.318.2-0.9014.615.9-1.35
AJ Green51520.370.130.250.264-1518.416.61.8215.115.1-0.05
Damian Lillard70700.100.40-0.300.1003-317.418.6-1.2115.015.3-0.25
Delon Wright30290.090.41-0.320.0612-117.317.8-0.5316.414.42.04
Gary Trent Jr.42420.070.43-0.370.30-811-1917.417.9-0.5115.714.51.21
MarJon Beauchamp11120.040.46-0.410.0212-118.317.60.7116.514.91.64
Bobby Portis3332-0.070.57-0.650.16-811-1918.217.30.9015.914.61.35
Pat Connaughton3638-0.250.75-1.010.04-1013-2318.017.40.6414.815.3-0.56

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kel'el Ware17160.11-0.610.71-0.2211-142516.314.81.5119.117.31.81
Pelle Larsson37360.10-0.600.71-0.3114-173115.215.00.1419.116.62.52
Alec Burks24230.05-0.550.60-0.012-5716.014.71.3219.017.21.89
Kevin Love1717-0.08-0.420.35-0.080-3313.415.5-2.0712.418.9-6.56
Jaime Jaquez Jr.2525-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-1-116.114.71.4517.317.8-0.51
Haywood Highsmith2931-0.32-0.18-0.150.18-1714-3114.415.4-0.9415.219.0-3.79
Terry Rozier3837-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-4514.915.2-0.3318.317.21.12
Jimmy Butler6868-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.35-1-2114.815.9-1.0617.418.6-1.30
Duncan Robinson5858-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.28-63-915.214.90.2717.118.6-1.50
Tyler Herro7375-0.500.00-0.51-0.42-30-314.916.1-1.2717.916.21.75
Bam Adebayo5454-0.540.04-0.58-0.13-1411-2515.214.90.3719.015.53.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.39,0.45,0.21,0.09,0.07,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 95, CHH 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,092.5%
MIA 102, BOS 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.48,0.55,0.28,0.1,0.01,092.4%
HOU 93, BOS 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.05,092.4%