NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	122		Excitement	5.3 [140]		MVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): +14.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	1.0 [90]		LVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): -14.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.02	-0.03	20	63%	0.18	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14	0.06	0.03	-0.05	21	50%	0.14	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Christian Braun	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	63%	0.08	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Peyton Watson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	71%	0.13	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Vlatko Cancar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Strawther	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	12	46%	0.02	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.15	-0.00	0.03	19	72%	0.15	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.02
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	9	40%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	0.03	17	49%	-0.03	7	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	1.8	32.2	14.4	28.3	2.4	36.3	145.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +51.2%

DEN +3.2%

MEM -12.0%

DEN +8.3%

MEM -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MEM	NBA	DEN	MEM	NBA
this game	12.3	13.4	14.4	108.9	98.2	112.0
season	13.8	13.4		112.4	114.7
opponent	14.3	14.6		107.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	10.7	11.5	12.3	15.3	12.3
MEM	12.5	15.2	13.9	12.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Braun	80	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.05	22	-10	32	12.1	12.8	-0.69	13.7	12.5	1.24
Michael Porter Jr.	94	94	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.11	15	-3	18	12.0	14.1	-2.03	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Jamal Murray	83	84	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.04	18	-6	24	12.7	11.4	1.31	13.3	13.6	-0.32
Dario Saric	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	2	8	13.6	11.5	2.09	11.2	14.8	-3.55
Peyton Watson	54	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	4	4	12.7	12.1	0.61	14.2	12.5	1.72
Russell Westbrook	74	73	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	14	-16	12.6	11.9	0.65	13.6	13.0	0.56
DeAndre Jordan	18	18	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	7	-2	10.7	12.7	-1.94	13.9	13.3	0.69
Vlatko Cancar	29	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	6	0	10.4	13.0	-2.66	14.6	13.0	1.65
Julian Strawther	51	49	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	18	-24	11.8	12.8	-0.93	12.7	13.9	-1.12
Zeke Nnaji	11	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.15	-7	19	-26	14.1	12.2	1.93	16.2	13.0	3.23
Trey Alexander	21	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	21	-30	13.4	12.1	1.27	12.0	13.7	-1.64

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Williams Jr.	19	18	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-16	20	13.9	13.2	0.70	10.2	12.8	-2.53
Luke Kennard	57	57	0.00	-0.51	0.51	-0.41	14	-26	40	12.4	14.4	-2.03	12.3	12.4	-0.17
John Konchar	27	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-18	24	12.7	13.6	-0.82	12.9	12.2	0.70
Jay Huff	28	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-13	14	15.0	12.8	2.13	10.6	12.9	-2.31
Santi Aldama	78	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-20	28	12.5	15.3	-2.81	12.5	12.0	0.51
Jake LaRavia	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	12.8	14.1	-1.22	12.2	12.5	-0.24
Jaylen Wells	44	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	1	-14	14.6	12.6	2.05	11.9	12.7	-0.77
Brandon Clarke	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	6	-24	14.8	12.2	2.55	11.7	12.9	-1.22
Jaren Jackson Jr.	68	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	3	-18	12.6	14.5	-1.83	13.3	10.7	2.60
Scotty Pippen Jr.	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	2	-16	14.0	12.6	1.39	12.8	11.9	0.89
Desmond Bane	67	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.20	-24	12	-36	13.4	13.3	0.09	12.8	11.6	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 113, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
GSW 122, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
UTA 96, DEN 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%