NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	3.6 [1061]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +1.9%
Denver Nuggets	79		Comeback	1.1 [976]		LVP	Nene (DEN): -11.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	12	60%	0.08	5	-0.06	11	64%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	80%	0.09	5	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	16	54%	0.00	7	-0.09	5	80%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Savovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Satterfield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	11	46%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	16	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Rodney White	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	-0.01	-0.07	7	35%	-0.04	5	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	32%	-0.06	3	-0.06	3	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	32.0	15.8	26.2	1.8	34.0	139.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.5%

UTA +10.3%

DEN -4.0%

DEN -2.8%

UTA +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.5	102.1	82.3	101.6
season	16.3	15.7		103.1	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		99.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.5	15.4	15.1	15.9	15.0
DEN	17.0	13.4	16.2	14.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	70	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	1	15	14.6	16.0	-1.37	15.6	14.5	1.11
John Stockton	57	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	-1	19	15.1	14.7	0.41	16.1	14.2	1.90
Calbert Cheaney	57	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	4	9	15.7	13.9	1.84	16.1	14.3	1.81
Karl Malone	82	84	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	6	5	15.0	15.1	-0.12	15.6	13.2	2.38
Greg Ostertag	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	6	5	15.1	14.8	0.26	16.5	14.0	2.50
Scott Padgett	20	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.12	10	7	3	15.0	15.0	0.09	13.7	15.8	-2.13
Jarron Collins	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	15	-13	14.8	15.1	-0.29	13.9	16.1	-2.23
Andrei Kirilenko	61	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	12	-7	14.7	15.5	-0.78	14.3	17.2	-2.86
Mark Jackson	36	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	18	-19	14.6	15.2	-0.55	14.2	16.1	-1.86
Carlos Arroyo	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	18.0	14.9	3.05	14.0	15.3	-1.35

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	20	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-18	19	12.7	16.0	-3.26	15.4	14.9	0.55
Junior Harrington	26	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-18	19	15.0	15.5	-0.51	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Chris Andersen	19	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-18	19	13.9	15.7	-1.73	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Ryan Bowen	34	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-18	19	16.7	14.6	2.13	15.1	14.9	0.22
Predrag Savovic	48	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-15	13	14.6	16.0	-1.37	15.3	14.7	0.64
Donnell Harvey	13	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-13	9	14.7	15.4	-0.74	15.8	14.9	0.92
Mark Blount	45	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-8	-1	15.3	15.3	-0.00	15.8	14.3	1.50
Rodney White	28	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-3	-11	16.1	15.0	1.14	13.7	15.5	-1.80
Nene	51	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-9	1	15.3	15.3	0.00	14.3	15.8	-1.50
James Posey	52	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	0	-17	15.8	14.8	0.95	14.9	15.1	-0.21
Kenny Satterfield	70	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	1	-19	15.5	15.0	0.51	15.1	14.5	0.62
Juwan Howard	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	0	-17	15.7	14.1	1.61	15.0	14.8	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 99, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	96.9%
NJN 87, SAC 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
LAC 113, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%