NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	113		Excitement	3.2 [1149]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +21.0%
Washington Wizards	97		Comeback	1.0 [1065]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): -9.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.34	0.01	0.14	14	97%	0.23	2	-0.02	11	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	10	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	14	53%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	53%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	16	65%	0.10	6	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	12	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	11	55%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.7	29.2	16.4	28.3	1.8	28.2	133.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.9%

LAC +6.1%

WAS -2.8%

LAC +6.0%

LAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.1	124.2	109.0	105.2
season	14.3	15.1		111.0	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.7	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	14.9	15.2	15.6	15.0
WAS	16.3	19.4	14.8	17.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	76	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.15	22	-6	28	15.2	14.1	1.05	16.7	18.5	-1.75
Chris Paul	64	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	-8	32	14.7	15.6	-0.88	16.3	18.7	-2.43
DeAndre Jordan	57	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	1	14	14.2	16.4	-2.19	17.6	15.8	1.80
Jamal Crawford	76	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.18	22	-6	28	14.9	15.5	-0.63	16.5	19.7	-3.19
Jared Dudley	55	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.42	30	-14	44	14.4	15.9	-1.54	17.8	15.8	1.97
Stephen Jackson	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	15	-14	15.2	15.0	0.17	20.6	16.4	4.22
Darren Collison	33	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	17	-18	16.0	14.4	1.60	17.7	16.6	1.06
Ryan Hollins	9	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	23	-30	16.0	14.9	1.10	17.4	17.0	0.40
Willie Green	41	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.51	-17	33	-50	16.0	14.2	1.71	16.5	17.4	-0.84
Byron Mullens	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	14.0	15.1	-1.07	16.8	17.0	-0.22
Antawn Jamison	26	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	18	-20	15.5	14.8	0.74	16.0	17.4	-1.33

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Maynor	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	18.8	16.9	1.95	12.8	15.2	-2.33
Chris Singleton	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	18.8	16.9	1.95	12.8	15.2	-2.33
Jan Vesely	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-18	20	15.7	17.5	-1.77	15.2	14.9	0.27
Kevin Seraphin	37	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-17	18	16.0	17.7	-1.78	15.4	14.7	0.66
Garrett Temple	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-11	6	22.3	16.6	5.71	15.8	15.0	0.88
Glen Rice Jr.	30	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-21	26	18.3	16.4	1.89	15.4	14.8	0.56
Otto Porter	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-8	0	18.1	16.7	1.38	15.5	14.9	0.61
Trevor Ariza	77	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	-1	-14	16.5	20.6	-4.13	15.1	14.3	0.78
John Wall	77	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	-1	-14	16.5	20.6	-4.13	15.1	14.3	0.78
Trevor Booker	48	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-6	-4	18.5	15.3	3.23	14.9	15.1	-0.16
Martell Webster	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.22	-22	6	-28	16.7	17.8	-1.18	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Marcin Gortat	54	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	5	-26	16.9	17.2	-0.31	14.6	15.6	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, DEN 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
UTA 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MEM 101, POR 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%