NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	99		Excitement	3.4 [1076]		MVP	Othella Harrington (VAN): +16.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	91		Comeback	1.1 [754]		LVP	Brian Skinner (LAC): -9.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.02	-0.02	13	69%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.06	17	59%	0.11	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	13	50%	0.05	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Kevin Edwards	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	78%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	-0.09	17	31%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	70%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	53%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	19	45%	0.03	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	10	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	27.6	16.7	27.2	2.4	40.2	142.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +24.5%

VAN +5.5%

VAN +14.4%

VAN +7.0%

LAC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAC	NBA	VAN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	13.9	15.5	105.3	96.8	100.9
season	15.6	16.1		97.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	18.0	16.9	20.6	13.1	16.7
LAC	15.5	14.4	15.4	11.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	79	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-7	22	15.7	21.9	-6.21	14.4	11.7	2.70
Othella Harrington	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-10	28	17.4	15.8	1.59	15.7	11.4	4.34
Michael Dickerson	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	-1	10	16.6	17.1	-0.55	13.7	14.6	-0.90
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	67	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	7	-6	16.5	17.3	-0.77	14.1	13.5	0.58
Bryant Reeves	56	57	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.19	3	5	-2	17.5	15.6	1.86	14.4	13.2	1.17
Grant Long	49	50	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	9	-10	15.3	18.3	-2.98	12.1	16.0	-3.99
Ike Austin	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	7	-6	16.6	16.7	-0.13	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Tony Massenburg	8	8	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	5	-2	17.9	16.6	1.27	14.5	13.9	0.63
Kevin Edwards	27	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	8	-8	15.3	17.3	-2.04	13.9	13.9	-0.00
Stromile Swift	18	19	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	10	-12	19.4	16.1	3.31	13.0	14.2	-1.16
Damon Jones	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.18	-7	15	-22	21.9	15.7	6.21	11.7	14.4	-2.70

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-8	8	14.2	13.9	0.34	24.8	16.3	8.54
Derek Strong	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-7	6	13.9	13.9	-0.02	18.5	16.5	2.08
Tyrone Nesby	26	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-8	8	13.6	14.0	-0.43	17.7	16.3	1.37
Keyon Dooling	14	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-9	10	12.2	14.2	-2.01	18.9	16.3	2.68
Corey Maggette	31	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.30	7	-15	22	11.6	15.1	-3.45	14.9	17.7	-2.82
Sean Rooks	37	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	14.8	13.4	1.37	19.1	15.4	3.68
Brian Skinner	47	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	6	-20	15.1	12.8	2.28	17.0	16.4	0.64
Darius Miles	64	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-2	-4	13.6	14.6	-1.04	15.4	19.5	-4.04
Jeff McInnis	80	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	1	-10	14.2	12.2	2.01	16.3	18.9	-2.68
Michael Olowokandi	66	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	14.2	13.3	0.86	16.8	16.6	0.21
Lamar Odom	90	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	0	-8	13.9	14.2	-0.34	16.3	24.8	-8.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, SAC 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
NOH 112, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
UTA 96, DEN 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%