NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	8.4 [224]		MVP	Terance Mann (LAC): +24.8%
LA Clippers	105		Comeback	1.9 [688]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (LAC): -17.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Whitmore	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	17	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Amen Thompson	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.03	9	86%	0.18	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Nate Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	9	62%	0.14	2	-0.08	3	0%	-0.06
Boban Marjanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.02	8	68%	0.13	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	14	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	19	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	10	45%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Samuels Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Hinton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terance Mann	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.07	-0.00	14	77%	0.28	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	17	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.04	12	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Tucker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Moon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	22	32%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	0.01	0.00	16	42%	0.04	6	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	13	30%	-0.13	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.5	27.2	15.4	23.8	2.4	23.6	115.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +68.6%

LAC -20.0%

HOU +12.6%

LAC -17.0%

HOU +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	12.7	13.7	14.5	106.4	96.3	113.9
season	14.2	14.9		113.2	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		114.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	12.8	13.0	11.5	12.7
LAC	16.2	12.4	12.8	13.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	87	90	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-1	13	13.3	10.4	2.95	13.9	12.9	0.92
Boban Marjanovic	28	29	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.15	9	2	7	11.5	13.1	-1.68	13.8	13.7	0.07
Nate Williams	53	52	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	1	9	11.0	14.4	-3.41	13.5	13.9	-0.32
Cam Whitmore	81	82	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.00	14	-3	17	12.8	12.5	0.29	13.5	14.3	-0.78
Jabari Smith Jr.	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	3	5	13.5	11.2	2.23	13.6	13.9	-0.23
Aaron Holiday	36	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	9	-7	12.7	12.7	-0.07	14.3	13.4	0.94
Jalen Green	49	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	3	5	14.2	11.5	2.63	14.2	13.3	0.93
Jock Landale	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	9	-7	14.3	11.6	2.72	14.0	13.5	0.47
Nate Hinton	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	13	-15	12.2	12.9	-0.72	13.5	13.8	-0.26
Reggie Bullock Jr.	16	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	12	-13	9.3	13.3	-3.99	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Jermaine Samuels Jr.	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	12	-13	10.7	13.0	-2.21	11.4	14.0	-2.57
Jeff Green	32	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	17	-23	11.8	13.1	-1.32	13.3	13.8	-0.52

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	69	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-17	23	12.8	15.2	-2.40	12.3	13.4	-1.16
Terance Mann	63	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-7	3	13.8	13.5	0.32	13.0	12.4	0.61
P.J. Tucker	15	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-6	1	17.6	13.1	4.51	15.0	12.4	2.62
Brandon Boston Jr.	73	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-7	3	13.3	14.6	-1.31	11.8	14.6	-2.73
Xavier Moon	106	106	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-4	-3	13.5	19.7	-6.13	12.8	8.7	4.16
Kobe Brown	90	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.19	-10	-1	-9	13.4	15.1	-1.69	12.3	15.0	-2.74
Amir Coffey	75	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.4	12.3	2.10	13.8	10.2	3.62
Mason Plumlee	54	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	9	-29	14.1	13.3	0.77	12.6	12.8	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.46,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.26,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 116, SEA 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0	92.7%
SAS 67, MIA 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.15,0	92.1%
SAS 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.02,0	91.8%