NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	125		Excitement	3.4 [1104]		MVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): +15.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	1.0 [610]		LVP	Jaden McDaniels (MIN): -7.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.29	0.01	0.15	21	82%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.19	0.00	0.06	11	87%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	16	55%	0.14	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Saben Lee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bol Bol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.16	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.04	7	100%	0.14	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leonard Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	59%	0.06	5	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	2	83%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	28.4	14.8	33.5	2.5	26.4	131.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.8%

MIN -5.9%

PHX +8.7%

PHX +22.8%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	14.2	14.5	133.0	114.0	113.9
season	14.6	14.9		116.1	114.3
opponent	14.7	14.4		108.5	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	16.8	18.1	17.2	16.6
MIN	15.5	12.0	14.6	14.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	73	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.40	30	-11	41	16.4	17.4	-0.96	14.6	12.6	1.98
Jusuf Nurkic	38	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	-8	35	16.6	16.7	-0.10	15.6	13.1	2.57
Bradley Beal	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.13	19	0	19	16.7	16.3	0.39	14.3	13.6	0.70
Royce O'Neale	47	45	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.09	16	3	13	16.4	16.9	-0.47	14.6	13.7	0.83
Devin Booker	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.23	20	-1	21	16.7	16.6	0.05	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Grayson Allen	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.12	15	4	11	17.0	15.9	1.10	14.5	13.5	0.96
Drew Eubanks	28	29	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	18	-17	17.1	16.4	0.72	13.6	14.4	-0.82
Thaddeus Young	16	15	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	27	-35	18.7	16.2	2.54	13.3	14.3	-1.05
Bol Bol	14	16	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	24	-29	18.6	16.3	2.36	12.4	14.5	-2.07
Saben Lee	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	15.3	16.8	-1.50	12.6	14.3	-1.77
Josh Okogie	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	15.3	16.8	-1.50	12.6	14.3	-1.77
Isaiah Thomas	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	15.3	16.8	-1.50	12.6	14.3	-1.77
Nassir Little	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	15.3	16.8	-1.50	12.6	14.3	-1.77
David Roddy	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	14.0	16.9	-2.92	12.5	14.3	-1.81

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Garza	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-24	29	12.6	14.3	-1.77	15.3	16.8	-1.50
Wendell Moore Jr.	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-24	29	12.6	14.3	-1.77	15.3	16.8	-1.50
Leonard Miller	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-24	29	12.6	14.3	-1.77	15.3	16.8	-1.50
Josh Minott	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-24	29	12.6	14.3	-1.77	15.3	16.8	-1.50
Monte Morris	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	12.7	14.4	-1.70	16.8	16.6	0.15
Jordan McLaughlin	16	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-16	13	15.7	13.8	1.93	17.5	16.5	0.99
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-13	7	13.8	14.4	-0.56	16.8	16.5	0.24
Jaden McDaniels	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-8	-3	13.9	14.5	-0.66	16.6	16.7	-0.15
Naz Reid	39	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	-2	-15	14.9	13.6	1.29	16.6	16.7	-0.14
Kyle Anderson	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-7	-5	14.9	13.7	1.15	17.4	16.2	1.17
Mike Conley	54	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-5	-9	14.4	13.7	0.70	16.7	16.5	0.22
Karl-Anthony Towns	55	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	-1	-17	14.1	14.2	-0.01	17.2	15.7	1.53
Anthony Edwards	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.25	-21	2	-23	14.0	14.6	-0.61	16.7	16.6	0.05
Rudy Gobert	63	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-2	-15	14.4	13.5	0.91	16.2	17.4	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.9%
MIN 116, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	96.4%
PHX 110, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%