NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	2.9 [1180]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +13.2%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	1.0 [410]		LVP	Kyle Korver (UTA): -9.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.02	6	108%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.08	24	47%	0.08	3	-0.03	9	56%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	52%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.05	11	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	19	51%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.11	16	70%	0.04	5	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	3.5	29.2	19.8	26.0	2.8	35.2	142.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +46.7%

UTA -2.5%

UTA -4.0%

LAL +7.5%

LAL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	15.4	121.8	108.0	105.7
season	14.6	15.5		110.6	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	17.3	19.0	17.1	16.9
UTA	16.7	17.0	14.6	15.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	64	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-7	25	17.0	16.9	0.10	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Lamar Odom	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-1	13	17.5	11.9	5.58	16.0	16.0	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	4	3	16.2	21.3	-5.09	16.1	15.3	0.79
Vladimir Radmanovic	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	1	9	16.3	17.7	-1.49	15.5	16.6	-1.10
Derek Fisher	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	6	-1	16.0	19.1	-3.09	16.1	15.7	0.39
Jordan Farmar	27	28	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	5	1	19.1	16.0	3.09	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Luke Walton	49	50	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.20	-1	12	-13	17.4	16.3	1.11	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Sasha Vujacic	34	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	13	-15	17.5	16.6	0.92	17.1	15.3	1.83

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	6	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-16	21	15.7	16.0	-0.33	20.6	16.6	3.95
Ronnie Price	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	-3	-5	17.0	15.9	1.07	13.0	17.1	-4.08
Kyle Korver	33	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-13	15	17.8	14.9	2.95	17.5	16.6	0.92
Paul Millsap	26	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	2	-15	15.9	16.0	-0.13	18.4	16.4	1.99
Matt Harpring	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-4	-3	16.8	15.3	1.51	17.4	16.6	0.80
Andrei Kirilenko	66	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-16	21	15.9	16.1	-0.15	16.5	18.3	-1.83
Ronnie Brewer	55	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	2	-15	14.9	17.8	-2.95	16.6	17.5	-0.92
Mehmet Okur	55	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	0	-11	15.4	16.9	-1.44	16.2	18.1	-1.93
Deron Williams	84	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-8	5	15.9	17.0	-1.07	17.1	13.0	4.08
Carlos Boozer	72	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	1	-13	16.0	15.7	0.28	16.8	17.6	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 116, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	96.6%
PHX 107, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
SAS 110, WAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%