NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	3.3 [1130]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +9.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.0 [864]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -6.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.04	12	74%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	16	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.05	8	44%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	12	55%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	11	77%	0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.09	8	29%	-0.01	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	52%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	11	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	17	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	12	38%	-0.00	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.8	30.2	15.7	30.1	1.8	29.0	138.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.2%

PHI -0.7%

PHI -3.0%

PHX +5.2%

PHX +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	14.3	15.4	115.1	100.0	105.7
season	13.8	15.2		111.1	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.6		104.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	18.4	17.8	17.6	16.7
PHI	16.3	14.3	12.7	13.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	1	12	16.0	18.4	-2.49	12.8	17.7	-4.85
Raja Bell	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	0	14	16.6	16.9	-0.24	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Shaquille O'Neal	55	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.25	21	-7	28	17.2	16.0	1.19	14.4	14.1	0.35
Amar'e Stoudemire	56	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	3	8	16.4	17.1	-0.76	16.6	10.8	5.87
Steve Nash	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	1	12	16.6	16.7	-0.10	15.1	12.4	2.73
Boris Diaw	57	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	6	2	16.1	17.5	-1.39	13.0	16.4	-3.43
Gordan Giricek	34	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	11	-8	16.4	16.8	-0.47	13.3	14.9	-1.57
Grant Hill	43	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	15	-16	17.7	15.8	1.98	15.8	13.0	2.81
Brian Skinner	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	19.8	16.5	3.37	10.8	14.5	-3.69
DJ Strawberry	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	19.8	16.5	3.37	10.8	14.5	-3.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shavlik Randolph	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	10.0	14.4	-4.43	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Calvin Booth	4	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-11	8	17.5	14.1	3.35	16.5	16.7	-0.19
Kevin Ollie	17	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-18	22	12.8	14.6	-1.87	15.4	17.0	-1.60
Jason Smith	15	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-14	14	14.6	14.2	0.37	17.2	16.6	0.69
Thaddeus Young	25	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-18	22	13.3	14.6	-1.33	16.5	16.7	-0.19
Willie Green	37	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-9	4	14.6	14.1	0.55	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Reggie Evans	48	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-7	0	15.0	13.5	1.55	18.3	15.0	3.28
Lou Williams	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-7	0	13.4	15.5	-2.08	17.1	16.1	0.93
Rodney Carney	50	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	0	-14	13.5	15.2	-1.75	15.1	18.4	-3.33
Andre Miller	74	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	1	-16	14.1	14.9	-0.83	16.4	17.7	-1.37
Andre Iguodala	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	3	-20	15.0	12.1	2.87	17.3	14.7	2.60
Samuel Dalembert	69	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	0	-14	15.0	12.3	2.69	16.4	17.5	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 103, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
LAL 106, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.6%
HOU 117, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.5%