NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	117		Excitement	2.6 [1226]		MVP	Corey Brewer (HOU): +8.7%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	1.0 [1004]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -5.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	11	82%	0.10	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	5	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	14	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Sam Dekker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	52%	0.05	5	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Montrezl Harrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	5	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	0.00	0.13	22	65%	0.02	4	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	30.5	12.5	25.7	2.5	30.6	129.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.5%

HOU +1.9%

HOU +8.0%

SAC -1.1%

HOU +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	14.8	117.0	107.2	107.7
season	13.7	15.4		113.2	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.9		110.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	13.5	15.0	17.6	15.0
SAC	15.3	12.2	17.1	12.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.20	22	-9	31	15.6	14.0	1.61	14.5	13.8	0.64
James Harden	83	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	3	7	15.0	15.1	-0.08	14.0	15.4	-1.35
Clint Capela	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	2	9	15.3	14.5	0.75	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Trevor Ariza	74	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	9	-5	14.6	16.2	-1.68	14.2	14.5	-0.33
Sam Dekker	32	29	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	5	3	15.0	15.0	0.06	15.8	13.6	2.17
Ryan Anderson	60	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	7	-1	14.4	15.9	-1.52	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Corey Brewer	26	25	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	4	5	16.2	14.6	1.68	14.5	14.2	0.33
Nene	30	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	8	-3	14.6	15.2	-0.56	15.8	13.6	2.17
Eric Gordon	62	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.38	-7	20	-27	15.0	15.0	-0.06	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Montrezl Harrell	8	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	16	-19	14.2	15.1	-0.80	9.1	14.6	-5.49

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	31	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-15	17	16.7	13.1	3.63	15.5	14.7	0.73
Garrett Temple	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-17	21	14.3	14.2	0.13	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Omri Casspi	57	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-18	23	13.6	15.1	-1.47	15.2	14.7	0.52
Ben McLemore	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.15	-10	-3	-7	14.7	14.2	0.56	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Arron Afflalo	32	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-1	-11	14.6	14.1	0.49	14.8	15.1	-0.21
Darren Collison	51	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-5	-3	14.4	14.1	0.29	14.4	15.6	-1.14
Ty Lawson	47	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-3	-7	14.8	13.7	1.15	15.7	14.3	1.46
Matt Barnes	67	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	13.9	14.9	-1.01	15.7	13.4	2.32
DeMarcus Cousins	66	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	2	-17	13.1	16.7	-3.63	14.7	15.5	-0.73
Rudy Gay	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	1	-15	14.3	14.1	0.18	14.6	16.3	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 113, GSW 87	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
LAC 101, DEN 79	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
NOP 112, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%