NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	112		Excitement	1.7 [1299]		MVP	Terrence Jones (NOP): +6.4%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	1.1 [293]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -6.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	11	68%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	6	92%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.03	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	0.00	0.11	12	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	64%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	15	48%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.14	0.00	0.12	6	117%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	83%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	71%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	0.05	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	11	45%	-0.00	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	6	7%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	30.5	15.4	23.5	2.3	24.3	122.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +36.3%

NOP +3.8%

NOP +1.9%

NOP +3.0%

NOP +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ATL	NBA	NOP	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	14.8	115.5	97.9	107.7
season	14.1	14.4		104.1	104.2
opponent	14.9	15.0		104.6	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	13.9	17.3	17.4	15.5
ATL	16.0	12.2	14.0	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	59	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	1	16	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.0	14.8	-0.74
Omer Asik	49	47	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.39	26	-8	34	13.8	17.2	-3.37	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Jrue Holiday	54	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	5	8	15.1	16.0	-0.89	14.9	13.5	1.40
Tim Frazier	69	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.27	19	-1	20	15.9	14.5	1.41	14.5	14.0	0.52
Anthony Davis	36	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	5	8	15.1	15.7	-0.63	16.6	13.0	3.56
Solomon Hill	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	12	-6	15.0	16.0	-1.01	14.7	13.9	0.73
E'Twaun Moore	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.36	21	-3	24	14.9	16.1	-1.21	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Dante Cunningham	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	5	8	15.6	15.4	0.11	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Langston Galloway	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.51	-11	29	-40	15.8	15.3	0.48	13.4	14.9	-1.51
Buddy Hield	14	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.44	-15	33	-48	20.9	14.6	6.25	14.1	14.4	-0.31
Anthony Brown	15	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.30	-12	30	-42	19.1	14.8	4.29	10.8	15.0	-4.19

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-22	26	13.3	14.5	-1.19	18.6	15.0	3.67
Taurean Prince	31	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.44	15	-33	48	14.5	14.3	0.22	17.7	14.5	3.24
DeAndre Bembry	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-24	30	15.4	14.0	1.34	17.4	15.0	2.40
Kris Humphries	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-14	10	15.0	14.1	0.89	14.4	15.9	-1.47
Malcolm Delaney	36	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-17	16	14.9	14.0	0.89	15.6	15.5	0.10
Tim Hardaway Jr.	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-18	18	14.9	14.0	0.89	15.7	15.4	0.30
Mike Muscala	30	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-15	12	13.6	14.7	-1.07	16.4	15.1	1.25
Kent Bazemore	38	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.33	-20	2	-22	14.5	14.2	0.32	14.4	16.2	-1.82
Thabo Sefolosha	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-11	4	14.1	14.5	-0.39	15.2	15.8	-0.53
Paul Millsap	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-3	-12	14.7	14.0	0.61	15.7	15.4	0.28
Kyle Korver	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.40	-24	6	-30	13.9	15.0	-1.02	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Dennis Schroder	54	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.16	-16	-2	-14	14.0	14.8	-0.80	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Dwight Howard	40	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.40	-25	7	-32	13.8	14.7	-0.87	13.7	16.9	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 110, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
HOU 129, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
BKN 112, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%