NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	2.8 [1175]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +6.7%
Chicago Bulls	91		Comeback	1.1 [1231]		LVP	Corey Benjamin (CHI): -8.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	9	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	6	108%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	15	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	30%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	15	70%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	15	59%	-0.01	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	5	8%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	0.07	18	56%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Corey Benjamin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	8	22%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	23.0	16.4	27.5	2.6	27.1	121.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.6%

IND +7.2%

CHI -7.2%

IND +14.6%

IND +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.2	114.4	101.1	101.7
season	15.4	16.5		106.5	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	16.2	12.7	19.0	15.6
CHI	17.0	15.8	18.1	14.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	68	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	-8	28	14.7	18.4	-3.72	17.5	12.8	4.68
Reggie Miller	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-6	24	14.7	17.6	-2.90	17.3	14.3	3.06
Dale Davis	52	51	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	-3	18	14.3	17.4	-3.15	17.0	15.6	1.48
Mark Jackson	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	-3	18	14.0	17.6	-3.64	18.0	14.4	3.51
Austin Croshere	50	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	5	2	16.6	14.4	2.21	15.9	17.1	-1.24
Rik Smits	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	6	0	13.7	16.8	-3.09	17.8	15.5	2.29
Sam Perkins	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	14	-16	17.4	14.0	3.44	15.5	17.2	-1.66
Travis Best	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	15	-18	17.6	14.0	3.64	14.4	18.0	-3.51
Al Harrington	27	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.23	-6	18	-24	17.6	14.7	2.90	14.3	17.3	-3.06
Chris Mullin	13	12	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	12	-12	17.4	15.3	2.09	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Jeff Foster	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	24.0	15.5	8.49	0.0	16.6	-16.58
Jonathan Bender	9	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	19.9	15.1	4.77	10.0	17.1	-7.11

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	15	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-20	28	12.8	17.1	-4.32	18.7	14.9	3.83
Kornel David	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-8	4	13.7	17.4	-3.71	15.8	15.5	0.28
Will Perdue	26	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-3	-6	18.0	15.8	2.20	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Michael Ruffin	32	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-9	6	15.0	17.2	-2.17	16.3	15.3	1.00
B.J. Armstrong	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-2	-8	17.1	15.0	2.05	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Corey Benjamin	65	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-8	4	16.6	15.8	0.78	15.7	15.4	0.28
Rusty LaRue	29	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-10	8	15.3	16.9	-1.61	16.4	15.2	1.25
Dickey Simpkins	47	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-3	-6	17.5	15.2	2.32	14.9	16.4	-1.42
Elton Brand	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	2	-16	17.2	14.0	3.18	15.2	16.9	-1.73
Metta World Peace	83	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	1	-14	16.4	16.9	-0.50	15.6	15.7	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
HOU 114, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
SAS 110, WAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%