NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	5.7 [663]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +24.4%
Boston Celtics	124		Comeback	1.2 [1303]		LVP	Duop Reath (POR): -9.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Minaya	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	56%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	23	48%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.06	23	57%	0.08	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Jabari Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	16	39%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Scoot Henderson	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	13	47%	-0.01	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Duop Reath	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.09	-0.00	17	70%	0.28	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	13	77%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	22.4	14.7	25.2	2.3	22.3	111.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +68.5%

BOS +0.9%

POR -26.4%

BOS +2.8%

BOS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	14.5	107.0	124.0	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		106.9	120.7
opponent	14.7	14.5		109.6	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.6	18.5	14.3	12.5	14.5
BOS	12.1	14.2	17.0	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Minaya	43	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-20	23	15.4	13.9	1.50	15.8	13.1	2.73
Duop Reath	31	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-13	9	16.9	13.5	3.42	14.8	14.0	0.82
Jabari Walker	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-8	-1	13.6	17.0	-3.32	14.6	13.3	1.27
Scoot Henderson	74	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-8	-1	14.1	15.7	-1.56	14.5	13.5	1.05
Dalano Banton	75	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-6	-5	15.0	13.1	1.95	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Kris Murray	59	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-5	-7	13.8	15.6	-1.77	12.8	16.3	-3.57
Deandre Ayton	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.12	-19	2	-21	14.9	13.6	1.25	14.3	14.1	0.20
Rayan Rupert	72	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.15	-24	7	-31	14.1	15.7	-1.63	13.7	15.7	-1.97

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	53	54	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-2	21	13.7	14.9	-1.28	14.6	14.4	0.24
Sam Hauser	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	7	3	14.7	13.8	0.92	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Jaylen Brown	62	62	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	11	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.64	14.6	14.4	0.19
Al Horford	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	10	-3	13.8	14.7	-0.92	15.0	14.2	0.78
Jrue Holiday	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	10	-3	13.8	14.7	-0.92	15.0	14.2	0.78
Svi Mykhailiuk	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	8	1	14.1	14.3	-0.15	12.5	15.3	-2.77
Kristaps Porzingis	58	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	13	-9	14.0	14.6	-0.66	14.4	14.8	-0.42
Derrick White	62	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	15	-13	15.1	12.9	2.16	15.5	13.0	2.48
Luke Kornet	35	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	12	-7	15.5	13.6	1.89	16.2	13.5	2.70
Xavier Tillman	35	34	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	11	-5	15.2	13.7	1.49	14.3	14.7	-0.42
Oshae Brissett	21	21	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.10	7	10	-3	13.0	14.6	-1.53	11.5	15.3	-3.82
Jaden Springer	2	2	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	14	-11	7.5	14.4	-6.90	7.5	14.7	-7.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ATL 78, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
VAN 86, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%