NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	5.3 [764]		MVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): +10.7%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	1.4 [603]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -16.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	12	64%	0.09	5	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Withey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	59%	0.06	2	-0.08	9	67%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	4	40%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Raul Neto	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.02	0.06	12	76%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Otto Porter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	17	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jarell Eddie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	7	22%	-0.06	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	24.5	14.7	29.2	2.4	28.3	127.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.7%

UTA -4.5%

UTA -10.9%

WAS +27.4%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	13.5	14.9	89.0	104.0	105.1
season	16.3	13.8		104.6	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.0		104.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	15.8	13.8	17.7	15.4
WAS	14.2	13.5	12.9	13.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	40	39	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.10	7	-21	28	12.8	17.1	-4.33	15.0	12.5	2.45
Jeff Withey	16	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-21	28	12.2	16.0	-3.77	16.0	13.1	2.93
Trey Burke	49	45	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-22	30	14.4	16.4	-1.90	14.0	13.1	0.93
Trey Lyles	32	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-14	14	15.9	15.2	0.67	13.2	13.7	-0.48
Joe Ingles	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-14	14	17.9	14.4	3.49	13.7	13.4	0.25
Trevor Booker	46	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-11	8	14.7	16.0	-1.34	13.4	13.6	-0.21
Rudy Gobert	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-2	-10	15.4	15.4	0.02	13.5	13.5	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	0	-14	14.4	17.9	-3.49	13.4	13.7	-0.25
Derrick Favors	43	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	6	-26	17.0	14.2	2.81	13.0	13.9	-0.89
Raul Neto	42	45	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	3	-20	16.4	14.7	1.62	12.8	14.1	-1.23
Rodney Hood	69	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.16	-26	12	-38	17.0	11.8	5.24	12.8	15.2	-2.42

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	2	10	13.0	14.6	-1.60	15.2	16.0	-0.79
John Wall	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-4	22	13.2	14.5	-1.39	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Nene	55	55	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	3	8	13.3	13.7	-0.42	14.3	16.7	-2.39
Marcin Gortat	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	1	12	13.1	14.1	-1.02	16.6	13.7	2.99
Jared Dudley	74	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	5	4	13.6	13.1	0.53	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Garrett Temple	59	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	3	8	13.4	13.6	-0.23	15.7	15.0	0.74
Ramon Sessions	41	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	9	-4	13.7	13.4	0.24	16.8	14.4	2.36
Bradley Beal	48	48	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	12	-10	14.4	12.6	1.79	15.5	15.4	0.07
Kelly Oubre	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	17.0	13.4	3.59	12.2	15.6	-3.30
Jarell Eddie	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	17	-20	14.7	13.5	1.29	8.0	15.7	-7.73
Drew Gooden	10	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	19	-24	16.0	13.2	2.76	14.4	15.6	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 80, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%
PHX 104, DAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%