inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 119 Excitement5.6 [676] MVPBam Adebayo (MIA): +12.8%
Houston Rockets 104 Comeback1.6 [775] LVPReggie Bullock Jr. (HOU): -4.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.03-0.021264%0.151-0.024100%0.02
Duncan Robinson0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.01671%0.0800.002100%0.01
Jimmy Butler0.080,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.001461%0.122-0.038100%0.04
Terry Rozier0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.011057%0.101-0.03367%-0.01
Tyler Herro0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.001453%0.0700.00450%-0.02
Nikola Jovic0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.02757%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.010.04786%0.0410.0000%0.00
Caleb Martin0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.02-0.03950%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevin Love0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00560%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Cain0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.020.02685%0.1200.001100%0.00
Dillon Brooks0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.010.001356%0.0600.00683%0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.01-0.011258%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Jalen Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.041848%0.113-0.08887%0.02
Jock Landale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.02762%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jermaine Samuels Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nate Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nate Hinton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Cam Whitmore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.001246%0.021-0.022100%0.02
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.021343%0.042-0.04475%-0.00
Aaron Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Reggie Bullock Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0220%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.528.314.525.62.525.5124.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +43.1%
HOU -6.9%
MIA +6.9%
MIA +0.9%
MIA +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAHOUNBAMIAHOUNBA
this game15.114.114.5120.2106.1113.9
season14.914.2112.3113.2
opponent14.614.8112.2111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.215.816.315.415.1
HOU13.413.613.715.914.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bam Adebayo65630.460.040.42-0.0116-11715.314.70.6315.611.44.17
Caleb Martin61600.390.110.29-0.021411314.416.3-1.9014.413.70.74
Jaime Jaquez Jr.37350.350.150.19-0.061411315.315.00.2815.713.22.49
Haywood Highsmith54540.250.25-0.000.0478-115.814.31.5714.114.1-0.00
Terry Rozier52510.240.26-0.020.0669-315.414.80.6013.914.4-0.52
Tyler Herro50490.240.26-0.02-0.08114715.315.00.2814.913.31.61
Duncan Robinson45460.210.29-0.070.0469-315.215.00.2313.214.9-1.77
Jimmy Butler62630.150.35-0.190.12114-1315.015.3-0.2813.215.7-2.49
Kevin Love33330.110.39-0.280.05213-1115.015.2-0.1412.315.0-2.73
Nikola Jovic32320.100.40-0.300.13-116-1714.715.3-0.5513.814.3-0.49
Jamal Cain440.000.50-0.500.03-116-1710.015.3-5.348.014.4-6.37

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine Samuels Jr.440.00-0.500.50-0.031-16178.014.4-6.3710.015.3-5.34
Nate Hinton440.00-0.500.50-0.031-16178.014.4-6.3710.015.3-5.34
Nate Williams77-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-161712.614.2-1.6613.915.2-1.36
Aaron Holiday1821-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-151513.914.2-0.2714.115.4-1.30
Reggie Bullock Jr.2524-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-161713.414.3-0.9015.515.00.44
Jock Landale5654-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-141313.714.7-1.0115.414.80.59
Cam Whitmore4345-0.22-0.280.060.02-8-7-114.014.2-0.2014.415.8-1.40
Jeff Green4545-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.00-11-4-714.513.80.7415.315.00.31
Jabari Smith Jr.6466-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-2-1114.513.31.2115.514.31.18
Jalen Green7575-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.13-11-4-714.612.62.0215.813.02.75
Dillon Brooks7577-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-150-1514.114.3-0.1915.214.90.33
Fred VanVleet7473-0.540.04-0.570.05-205-2514.612.71.8015.015.3-0.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 108, CHA 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.01,094.5%
SEA 109, LAC 1010.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,094.4%
BOS 104, DAL 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,094.2%