NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	9.0 [146]		MVP	Deni Avdija (WAS): +14.2%
Washington Wizards	102		Comeback	1.5 [477]		LVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): -24.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	25	58%	0.21	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Kris Murray	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	13	48%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Duop Reath	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.04	20	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Scoot Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.11,-0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	14	66%	0.20	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.00
Jabari Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	6	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.11
Justin Minaya	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	19%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	12	69%	0.21	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.07
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.12	-0.00	16	45%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.07
Johnny Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	117%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eugene Omoruyi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	11	48%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	11	36%	-0.09	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.23	0.00	20	48%	-0.21	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	27.4	14.7	31.0	2.0	34.2	134.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +63.2%

WAS -13.8%

POR +17.1%

WAS -14.2%

WAS -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	13.6	14.5	109.1	105.2	113.9
season	14.8	13.7		106.9	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.5		118.7	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	16.7	14.9	16.5	15.7
WAS	14.5	13.9	13.4	12.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalano Banton	68	66	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-8	22	15.8	15.5	0.35	13.8	13.4	0.37
Deandre Ayton	83	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-2	10	15.7	15.7	-0.03	13.6	13.9	-0.27
Kris Murray	59	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	15.8	15.5	0.30	13.7	13.5	0.24
Jabari Walker	79	79	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	6	-6	15.9	15.1	0.79	13.7	13.5	0.17
Scoot Henderson	62	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	9	-12	15.6	15.9	-0.35	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Rayan Rupert	68	65	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	5	-4	15.7	15.7	0.03	13.6	13.8	-0.21
Justin Minaya	53	52	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	3	0	15.3	16.2	-0.87	13.4	13.9	-0.55
Duop Reath	23	21	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	5	-4	15.8	15.7	0.13	14.0	13.5	0.52

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Vukcevic	49	50	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.12	5	-11	16	13.5	13.7	-0.22	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Justin Champagnie	30	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	14.0	13.5	0.47	13.9	16.5	-2.59
Jared Butler	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-6	6	12.9	13.9	-0.99	15.1	16.0	-0.86
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	13	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	2	-10	15.1	13.4	1.66	15.8	15.7	0.14
Johnny Davis	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	2	-10	14.7	12.9	1.77	14.9	16.3	-1.39
Deni Avdija	77	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-10	14	13.2	15.2	-2.03	16.3	13.6	2.67
Jordan Poole	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	0	-6	13.9	12.9	0.99	15.8	15.4	0.39
Anthony Gill	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	13.5	13.8	-0.26	16.2	14.9	1.33
Eugene Omoruyi	36	36	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-4	2	12.6	14.2	-1.63	16.6	15.2	1.43
Corey Kispert	81	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	3	-12	13.8	13.0	0.77	15.7	15.8	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.33,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.32,0.16,0	91.5%
SAS 85, MIN 77	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.09,0	91.4%
DAL 102, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.46,0.45,0.09,0	91.2%