NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	96		Excitement	9.1 [129]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +44.5%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.7 [488]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -23.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.44	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.44	0.02	0.43	0.01	21	48%	0.47	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Marvin Williams	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.43	0.22	0.17	-0.04	13	87%	0.45	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	5	82%	0.20	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.06
Jeremy Lin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	10	35%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.02	6	43%	-0.04	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	26	57%	0.20	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.09	0.09	-0.10	0.19	0.01	13	44%	0.19	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	6	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	13	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	0.02	13	56%	0.08	3	-0.19	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.8	30.2	15.8	28.0	2.4	36.4	136.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +58.8%

IND -10.9%

IND -13.2%

CHA +7.8%

CHA +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	13.7	14.9	96.0	94.1	105.1
season	15.1	14.6		105.5	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		101.6	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	13.8	16.3	15.8	14.9
IND	13.2	14.4	15.0	12.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	59	60	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-10	21	14.9	14.9	0.07	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Nicolas Batum	68	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-8	17	15.2	14.2	1.03	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Kemba Walker	77	80	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-7	15	15.1	14.3	0.80	13.5	14.8	-1.29
Courtney Lee	83	83	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	0	1	15.0	14.4	0.68	13.4	15.3	-1.87
Marvin Williams	72	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	0	1	15.2	14.3	0.83	13.3	15.0	-1.69
Frank Kaminsky	28	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	1	-1	14.3	15.2	-0.83	15.0	13.3	1.69
Jeremy Lamb	27	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	6	-11	13.7	15.4	-1.72	15.3	13.2	2.07
Jeremy Lin	45	43	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	11	-21	14.6	15.1	-0.50	14.5	13.2	1.38
Al Jefferson	41	41	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	11	-21	14.9	14.9	-0.07	14.8	13.0	1.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	27	26	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-6	11	13.7	13.8	-0.05	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Jordan Hill	33	34	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-5	9	13.8	13.7	0.07	13.9	15.4	-1.53
Lavoy Allen	22	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	1	-3	14.5	13.5	0.97	14.9	14.9	-0.07
Chase Budinger	23	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.31	7	-8	15	15.1	13.3	1.74	14.5	15.0	-0.52
Solomon Hill	34	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-4	7	14.4	13.4	1.01	13.7	15.5	-1.86
Myles Turner	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	4	-9	13.8	13.6	0.25	15.1	14.6	0.53
George Hill	78	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-4	7	13.1	15.8	-2.64	15.2	14.1	1.10
Ian Mahinmi	68	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	4	-9	13.7	13.8	-0.07	15.4	13.9	1.53
Paul George	74	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.41	-6	5	-11	13.2	15.3	-2.07	15.4	13.7	1.72
Monta Ellis	87	87	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.40	-9	8	-17	13.9	12.9	1.03	14.9	14.9	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 106, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.43,0.15,0	92.7%
CLE 82, VAN 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.27,0	92.6%
MIA 97, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.62,0.54,0.43,0.28,0	92.5%