NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	109		Excitement	7.7 [332]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): +23.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	2.0 [255]		LVP	Jaden McDaniels (MIN): -25.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.08	0.03	8	131%	0.33	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.15	-0.01	0.15	-0.02	23	51%	0.26	4	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03
Coby White	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	10	81%	0.12	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Torrey Craig	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	16	56%	0.09	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.08	0.01	9	76%	0.24	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.13
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.16	-0.01	0.01	11	86%	0.20	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.03	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.03	5	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	14	48%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.11	0.02	20	48%	-0.07	6	-0.16	6	67%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.17	0.01	10	36%	-0.19	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	22.6	15.4	26.3	2.5	32.5	125.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +72.1%

MIN -7.0%

MIN -14.5%

MIN -2.3%

CHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.2	14.5	116.0	107.4	113.9
season	14.5	14.8		113.4	114.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		108.1	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.3	16.1	16.7	16.9	15.4
MIN	16.5	14.6	14.0	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	72	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-10	28	14.6	18.0	-3.33	15.3	15.0	0.25
Nikola Vucevic	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	2	4	15.6	15.0	0.53	15.4	14.8	0.59
DeMar DeRozan	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	1	6	15.5	14.8	0.70	15.1	15.8	-0.76
Alex Caruso	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	15.0	16.4	-1.36	14.9	16.2	-1.27
Coby White	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	4	0	15.8	13.2	2.60	15.4	14.2	1.26
Torrey Craig	27	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	13.4	16.2	-2.75	15.4	15.2	0.23
Dalen Terry	22	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	5	-2	14.4	15.7	-1.30	15.3	15.2	0.15
Andre Drummond	33	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	9	-10	15.5	15.4	0.12	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Javonte Green	30	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	14	-20	18.7	13.9	4.79	15.1	15.3	-0.14

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McLaughlin	26	27	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.08	8	-16	24	16.4	14.8	1.64	17.1	14.7	2.45
Naz Reid	60	59	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	-4	0	15.0	15.6	-0.55	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Monte Morris	33	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-2	-4	14.3	15.7	-1.43	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	44	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-4	0	14.9	15.6	-0.70	15.7	15.1	0.61
Jaden McDaniels	65	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-6	4	15.6	14.4	1.24	15.5	15.2	0.25
Rudy Gobert	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	15.5	14.1	1.38	15.1	16.5	-1.46
Anthony Edwards	72	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	2	-12	14.7	17.0	-2.36	15.1	16.4	-1.36
Kyle Anderson	40	42	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	4	-16	14.9	15.5	-0.58	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Mike Conley	56	58	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.50	-6	-2	-4	15.9	14.3	1.54	15.6	15.2	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.66,0.62,0.37,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.48,0.55,0.28,0.1,0.01,0	92.1%
UTA 121, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.22,0.02,0,0	91.6%
POR 97, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.28,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.22,0.04,0	91.4%