NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	121		Excitement	7.5 [337]		MVP	Mike Conley (UTA): +27.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	111		Comeback	1.5 [687]		LVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): -11.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.27	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.10	0.00	16	75%	0.32	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0.21	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.03,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.01	23	51%	0.28	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.04
Rudy Gobert	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	8	79%	0.27	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04
Jordan Clarkson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	11	60%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	8	68%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miye Oni	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.01	11	77%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.12,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	23	52%	0.13	4	-0.14	8	75%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	24	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	11	37%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	29.4	15.4	28.4	3.4	33.3	138.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +69.2%

UTA +14.1%

MEM -35.3%

MEM -0.9%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	14.4	124.7	114.4	111.3
season	14.5	14.0		116.4	111.2
opponent	14.5	14.5		110.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	15.0	14.6	16.6	15.5
MEM	14.0	13.8	14.2	14.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	74	72	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.21	16	-6	22	15.0	17.2	-2.20	14.4	13.7	0.64
Royce O'Neale	61	61	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-4	18	16.7	13.5	3.22	14.5	13.7	0.71
Rudy Gobert	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-4	18	15.0	16.8	-1.85	14.7	12.8	1.95
Donovan Mitchell	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	2	6	16.5	14.1	2.37	14.6	13.6	1.01
Joe Ingles	48	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	6	-2	14.9	16.1	-1.19	13.2	15.2	-1.92
Derrick Favors	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	14	-18	16.8	15.0	1.85	12.8	14.7	-1.95
Miye Oni	1	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	12	-14	21.0	15.4	5.56	18.0	14.2	3.84
Jordan Clarkson	48	47	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	17	-24	14.5	16.5	-2.01	13.7	14.7	-0.96
Georges Niang	26	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	16	-22	13.7	16.2	-2.46	14.4	14.1	0.29

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	17	18	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.00	12	-22	34	14.2	14.2	0.05	15.6	15.5	0.14
De'Anthony Melton	26	27	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-15	20	14.8	14.0	0.84	13.7	16.2	-2.53
Jaren Jackson Jr.	56	54	0.04	-0.55	0.59	0.07	-1	-9	8	14.2	14.2	0.00	16.5	14.2	2.35
Brandon Clarke	14	13	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-13	16	13.3	14.3	-1.06	19.5	14.9	4.58
Desmond Bane	34	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	2	-14	13.1	14.8	-1.71	15.5	15.5	0.03
Kyle Anderson	64	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-6	2	14.8	13.0	1.77	15.2	16.1	-0.95
Grayson Allen	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-6	2	13.9	14.7	-0.78	14.9	16.4	-1.43
Jonas Valanciunas	69	72	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.15	-21	11	-32	14.4	13.6	0.83	14.5	18.3	-3.75
Ja Morant	80	79	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.21	-22	12	-34	14.2	14.2	-0.05	15.5	15.6	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.22,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 97, CHH 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.2%
CHH 90, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.04,0	92.0%
PHI 108, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.28,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.13,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.14,0.01,0.08,0	91.9%