NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	6.4 [483]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +5.5%
Charlotte Hornets	85		Comeback	1.1 [506]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -29.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	12	73%	0.12	1	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	13	64%	0.08	4	-0.06	10	50%	-0.05
Charlie Ward	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
John Starks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	13	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	60%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Allan Houston	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	9	30%	-0.10	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	64%	0.02	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Tony Farmer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	13	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	14	50%	-0.16
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	6	-0.19	4	100%	0.05
Glen Rice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.06	0.02	13	34%	-0.17	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	12	35%	-0.12	4	-0.18	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	27.2	15.8	28.6	1.7	44.2	149.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.6%

CHH -6.2%

CHH -9.0%

NYK +13.3%

NYK +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	15.6	101.0	87.6	102.5
season	15.7	15.7		100.4	104.0
opponent	15.9	16.3		102.6	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	14.7	14.4	13.1	14.2
CHH	17.0	15.3	15.0	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	52	54	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-8	28	13.3	15.3	-2.01	16.1	14.9	1.26
Larry Johnson	67	67	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.10	18	-6	24	13.5	15.9	-2.41	16.2	14.2	1.96
Patrick Ewing	68	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-6	24	13.9	15.2	-1.36	15.7	15.2	0.51
John Starks	58	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	5	2	14.2	14.3	-0.11	13.6	18.5	-4.89
Allan Houston	57	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.02	16	-4	20	13.7	15.1	-1.44	16.9	13.6	3.34
Charles Oakley	57	57	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	9	-6	14.5	13.9	0.51	15.9	15.1	0.79
Chris Dudley	28	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.10	-6	18	-24	15.2	13.9	1.36	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Buck Williams	24	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	16	-20	15.9	13.7	2.17	15.8	15.5	0.27
Chris Mills	25	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	16	-20	15.6	13.8	1.83	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Chris Childs	44	43	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	20	-28	15.3	13.3	2.01	14.9	16.1	-1.26

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	28	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-11	10	13.4	16.5	-3.04	12.9	14.8	-1.95
J.R. Reid	24	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-11	10	15.2	15.7	-0.50	13.5	14.5	-1.03
Tony Farmer	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-4	-4	21.2	14.7	6.52	13.8	14.3	-0.56
Anthony Mason	81	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-6	0	15.5	15.9	-0.34	14.2	14.3	-0.02
Vlade Divac	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-1	-10	16.7	14.4	2.34	14.7	13.8	0.90
Dell Curry	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-11	10	15.6	15.5	0.11	15.1	12.3	2.84
Matt Geiger	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-7	2	14.2	17.5	-3.38	13.9	14.7	-0.73
Glen Rice	81	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	1	-14	15.7	15.0	0.70	14.4	13.5	0.90
David Wesley	86	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	2	-16	15.7	14.5	1.28	14.1	15.5	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 90, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.04,0	94.0%
MIL 102, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.02,0,0,0	93.7%
IND 106, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.04,0	93.6%