NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	6.4 [541]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +24.5%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.0 [499]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (NYK): -17.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.08	-0.05	25	63%	0.35	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	14	62%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Larry Sanders	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jon Brockman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	20	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.02
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	6	17%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	17	44%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.09	0.04	22	49%	-0.07	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	11	32%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	30.2	15.8	24.7	0.8	30.6	127.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +80.3%

NYK -10.3%

NYK -12.6%

NYK -10.4%

MIL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	15.1	15.5	109.7	104.3	105.7
season	16.2	14.3		100.1	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		108.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.3	15.5	17.0	15.5	16.1
NYK	15.7	14.5	15.7	14.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	76	76	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-9	24	16.0	16.5	-0.51	14.8	16.2	-1.42
Brandon Jennings	81	82	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-8	22	15.9	16.8	-0.90	15.2	14.3	0.87
John Salmons	81	80	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.26	13	-7	20	15.8	17.6	-1.76	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Carlos Delfino	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-1	8	16.2	15.6	0.62	15.1	15.0	0.10
Luc Mbah a Moute	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-4	14	16.3	15.6	0.65	15.5	14.2	1.27
Larry Sanders	40	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	12	-18	16.2	15.9	0.30	15.2	15.0	0.26
Corey Maggette	5	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	15.0	16.1	-1.11	13.2	15.2	-1.91
Jon Brockman	10	8	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.01	-7	13	-20	14.7	16.2	-1.52	13.4	15.2	-1.86
Keyon Dooling	40	37	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.10	-12	18	-30	16.6	15.6	1.00	15.1	15.1	0.05

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	36	35	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-16	26	14.8	15.2	-0.40	16.0	16.1	-0.09
Shawne Williams	40	43	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.27	11	-17	28	14.0	15.9	-1.95	17.0	15.2	1.85
Jared Jeffries	4	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-5	4	21.5	14.8	6.72	20.3	15.9	4.42
Roger Mason Jr.	4	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-5	4	21.5	14.8	6.72	20.3	15.9	4.42
Landry Fields	43	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-3	0	14.9	15.2	-0.27	15.7	16.3	-0.62
Ronny Turiaf	31	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	6	-18	15.9	14.7	1.20	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Shelden Williams	24	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	16.2	14.7	1.53	15.1	16.4	-1.23
Toney Douglas	65	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.50	3	-9	12	14.8	15.7	-0.84	16.4	15.3	1.09
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	1	-8	14.9	16.1	-1.19	15.7	17.5	-1.73
Carmelo Anthony	72	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	6	-18	15.2	14.7	0.48	16.1	16.1	0.00
Chauncey Billups	65	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.22	-14	8	-22	14.8	15.8	-1.05	15.9	16.5	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, HOU 75	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.7%
NYK 97, CHH 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.7%
POR 118, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.37,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.18,0.1,0,0,0,0	93.1%