NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	118		Excitement	7.2 [448]		MVP	Rodney Hood (POR): +48.1%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	1.0 [905]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -16.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.33,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.22	0.32	0.06	14	79%	0.48	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jusuf Nurkic	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	13	70%	0.26	2	-0.10	11	91%	0.05
Damian Lillard	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	20	56%	0.11	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jake Layman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	9	74%	0.07	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	13	23%	-0.12	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.03	0.03	13	85%	0.23	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	8	70%	0.18	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	71%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.06	10	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	6	46%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	21	37%	-0.07	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	29.2	14.8	28.4	2.3	33.4	132.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +11.5%

POR +8.2%

POR +28.0%

CHA -2.7%

POR +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHA	NBA	POR	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	14.3	121.6	109.1	109.3
season	14.9	14.6		112.6	110.4
opponent	14.3	13.9		111.6	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.6	14.0	14.4	16.1	14.8
CHA	14.2	15.4	15.0	13.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	70	70	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.15	20	-10	30	14.3	16.0	-1.77	15.1	13.5	1.57
Jusuf Nurkic	58	58	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.10	21	-11	32	13.8	16.3	-2.50	15.5	13.4	2.11
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-8	26	13.8	16.5	-2.67	15.5	13.1	2.38
Damian Lillard	73	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	5	0	14.4	15.8	-1.42	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Seth Curry	25	25	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	3	4	15.6	14.5	1.18	15.1	14.5	0.61
Rodney Hood	48	50	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.29	-2	12	-14	15.9	13.6	2.28	13.8	15.4	-1.63
Maurice Harkless	45	47	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.13	10	0	10	13.9	15.5	-1.55	15.5	13.9	1.60
Zach Collins	30	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	18	-26	17.0	13.8	3.19	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Jake Layman	35	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	18	-26	15.0	14.6	0.33	13.4	15.3	-1.86
Enes Kanter	38	39	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	23	-36	16.4	13.7	2.77	13.3	15.5	-2.18

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	58	54	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.22	15	-25	40	13.9	15.7	-1.85	15.6	13.7	1.87
Bismack Biyombo	36	35	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-18	26	12.4	15.9	-3.43	16.1	14.0	2.11
Tony Parker	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-12	14	14.0	14.9	-0.93	15.4	14.5	0.98
Miles Bridges	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-2	-6	13.9	15.0	-1.12	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Jeremy Lamb	72	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-11	12	13.7	17.0	-3.31	14.9	14.3	0.65
Nicolas Batum	86	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	2	-14	15.2	10.8	4.44	14.4	17.1	-2.78
Marvin Williams	58	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	7	-24	15.3	13.6	1.69	14.3	15.4	-1.13
Kemba Walker	78	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	4	-18	15.2	12.3	2.91	14.6	15.2	-0.55
Cody Zeller	42	43	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.06	-25	15	-40	16.9	13.0	3.87	13.5	15.7	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.37,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.18,0.1,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%
IND 89, DET 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.5%
DAL 115, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.4%