NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	7.2 [437]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +42.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Comeback	1.1 [479]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): -23.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.43	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.23	0.20	0.01	19	74%	0.45	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Jonah Bolden	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	7	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	20	44%	0.09	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04
Amir Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.03	13	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.10

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.09	0.01	12	65%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	1	125%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.05	17	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	9	46%	0.00	3	-0.12	6	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	24	40%	-0.06	4	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.06	0.10	15	40%	-0.10	3	-0.13	5	80%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	-8.6	40.1	3.0	38.5	-8.9	49.6	140.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.2%

PHI +0.8%

PHI +15.1%

PHI +3.2%

OKC -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	OKC	NBA	PHI	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	12.8	14.3	105.9	102.0	109.3
season	14.0	12.9		110.9	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.1		106.4	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.9	15.3	15.0	18.7	15.4
OKC	14.8	10.8	14.3	11.6	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	86	86	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-2	8	15.6	14.5	1.06	12.7	13.6	-0.85
Jimmy Butler	78	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.29	7	-3	10	15.6	14.7	0.89	12.7	13.2	-0.48
Mike Scott	45	43	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	3	-2	15.2	15.6	-0.38	12.8	12.8	-0.01
Ben Simmons	86	87	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	4	-4	15.6	14.1	1.50	12.7	13.5	-0.73
JJ Redick	75	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	4	-4	15.9	13.9	2.04	12.5	13.7	-1.25
Jonah Bolden	43	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	-5	14	13.8	16.6	-2.77	13.9	12.0	1.91
T.J. McConnell	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-2	8	14.6	15.8	-1.25	13.8	12.4	1.38
James Ennis III	34	35	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	6	-8	13.7	16.2	-2.57	12.8	12.9	-0.02
Amir Johnson	29	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	11	-18	17.9	14.4	3.55	12.0	13.2	-1.16

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	26	26	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.09	8	-12	20	12.3	13.0	-0.72	13.8	15.9	-2.13
Nerlens Noel	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-6	8	13.7	12.6	1.07	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Abdel Nader	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	0	-4	13.3	12.6	0.72	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Patrick Patterson	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-2	0	9.5	13.3	-3.80	15.7	15.3	0.41
Markieff Morris	41	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	3	-10	14.2	11.9	2.30	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Dennis Schroder	70	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.51	7	-11	18	12.1	14.5	-2.37	16.4	13.1	3.29
Steven Adams	68	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	1	-6	12.8	13.0	-0.24	15.7	14.8	0.91
Russell Westbrook	80	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	12.8	13.1	-0.32	15.6	14.8	0.79
Jerami Grant	79	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	3	-10	13.0	12.2	0.86	14.8	17.3	-2.47
Terrance Ferguson	81	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	5	-14	13.0	12.4	0.52	15.8	14.0	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.28,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.13,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.14,0.01,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 90, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.04,0	92.7%
PHI 98, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	92.1%
MIA 114, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.46,0.32,0.36,0.1,0.16,0	92.1%