NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	7.2 [389]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +17.2%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	1.2 [815]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (ATL): -15.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.10	0.05	12	72%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Arvydas Sabonis	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.11	-0.04	0.12	-0.03	14	50%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	8	52%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	9	59%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Grant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.00	12	52%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	12	57%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	5	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	20	41%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	22	48%	0.00	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.06
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	16	29%	-0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.7	24.5	15.7	30.4	1.8	39.3	135.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +59.8%

POR +7.6%

ATL -4.9%

ATL -16.0%

POR +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.3	15.2	105.4	96.8	101.7
season	15.9	15.4		105.9	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.7		105.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	15.8	16.4	17.5	15.9
ATL	16.0	17.7	13.1	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	63	62	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.25	15	-8	23	15.6	16.5	-0.90	15.7	14.5	1.18
Rasheed Wallace	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-3	13	15.1	17.9	-2.81	13.9	18.8	-4.97
Damon Stoudamire	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-3	13	15.1	18.1	-3.05	13.9	19.2	-5.31
Steven Smith	62	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	1	5	15.0	17.7	-2.67	13.7	18.5	-4.77
Scottie Pippen	66	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	3	1	16.7	13.7	3.09	14.8	16.6	-1.88
Bonzi Wells	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	6	-5	17.7	15.0	2.67	18.5	13.7	4.77
Jermaine O'Neal	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	7	-7	13.8	16.2	-2.46	16.6	15.0	1.53
Greg Anthony	24	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	7	-7	18.1	15.1	3.05	19.2	13.9	5.31
Detlef Schrempf	35	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	11	-15	15.8	15.9	-0.16	17.0	14.2	2.82
Brian Grant	32	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	14	-21	17.3	15.1	2.16	16.0	14.9	1.09

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-8	9	17.7	15.1	2.64	16.9	15.8	1.07
Jason Terry	9	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	20.7	14.7	5.98	14.7	16.0	-1.33
Lorenzen Wright	6	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-2	-3	18.3	15.1	3.28	12.0	16.2	-4.19
Jim Jackson	71	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-5	3	14.3	18.5	-4.17	15.8	16.0	-0.23
LaPhonso Ellis	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-8	9	15.1	15.5	-0.40	15.9	15.8	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	92	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-5	3	15.2	24.0	-8.83	15.9	15.0	0.89
Bimbo Coles	77	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	14.4	19.4	-4.96	15.9	15.6	0.30
Isaiah Rider	62	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	2	-11	16.8	12.2	4.56	16.2	15.1	1.12
Alan Henderson	80	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	4	-15	14.9	17.2	-2.28	15.9	15.4	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.28,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.46,0.38,0.21,0.22,0.05,0	92.5%
LAL 104, SEA 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.09,0	92.4%
WAS 94, ORL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.08,0	91.6%