NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	122		Excitement	4.0 [963]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +22.6%
Atlanta Hawks	113		Comeback	1.7 [781]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): -2.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.20	0.04	0.02	10	105%	0.24	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	3	108%	0.14	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	10	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.01	0.06	22	60%	0.14	3	-0.07	16	75%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
AJ Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	38%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.19	0.04	0.14	23	68%	0.13	3	-0.05	10	90%	0.02
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	48%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	7	59%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	19	48%	0.04	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	32.6	14.8	28.4	2.4	40.7	145.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.8%

MIL +13.8%

MIL +6.2%

MIL +1.3%

ATL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	14.5	124.5	113.0	113.9
season	14.3	14.2		117.0	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.3		118.0	114.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.1	12.7	13.3	16.1	13.8
ATL	15.6	15.5	16.0	13.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	68	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	14.9	11.2	3.71	15.6	14.6	0.95
Brook Lopez	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-1	11	14.3	12.7	1.57	15.4	14.9	0.54
Patrick Beverley	72	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	3	3	14.4	12.1	2.30	15.3	15.2	0.10
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	82	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	13.6	14.6	-1.03	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Khris Middleton	74	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	9	-9	13.9	13.5	0.41	15.2	15.5	-0.36
Jae Crowder	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	2	5	12.6	14.3	-1.73	15.7	15.1	0.64
Bobby Portis	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	7	-5	13.3	14.3	-1.00	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Pat Connaughton	35	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	6	-3	12.3	14.7	-2.37	14.8	15.5	-0.77
AJ Green	25	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	8	-7	12.5	14.3	-1.78	15.2	15.3	-0.15

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trent Forrest	12	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-10	11	15.8	15.2	0.64	12.0	14.1	-2.11
Dylan Windler	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-7	5	15.2	15.3	-0.05	12.6	13.9	-1.38
Wesley Matthews	38	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-11	13	14.6	15.7	-1.16	14.4	13.4	0.92
Bruno Fernando	43	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-6	3	15.4	15.2	0.22	14.0	13.6	0.43
Bogdan Bogdanovic	82	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-8	7	14.9	16.9	-1.97	13.3	15.8	-2.51
Garrison Mathews	34	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	15.9	15.0	0.88	14.2	13.6	0.66
Clint Capela	57	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-3	-3	15.2	15.4	-0.22	13.6	14.0	-0.43
De'Andre Hunter	70	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	2	-13	15.8	14.0	1.81	14.5	12.1	2.41
Vit Krejci	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	15.3	15.3	-0.05	13.3	14.9	-1.65
Dejounte Murray	88	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	1	-11	15.2	15.8	-0.64	14.1	12.0	2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
NOH 96, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.0%
NJN 106, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%