NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	4.9 [802]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHX): +10.9%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	1.1 [344]		LVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): -7.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	20	70%	0.24	8	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Bol Bol	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	71%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	10	65%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	17	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	16	63%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	14	58%	0.06	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	72%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	16	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Strawther	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	39%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.0	27.6	16.6	27.1	3.8	34.5	136.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +55.6%

DEN -2.6%

PHX +20.2%

DEN -24.8%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	16.8	14.4	14.5	113.0	104.3	113.9
season	14.6	15.0		116.1	116.2
opponent	14.6	14.4		111.6	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.2	16.2	16.7	19.2	16.8
DEN	15.4	15.8	12.8	13.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	74	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-4	15	16.4	18.6	-2.19	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Thaddeus Young	33	34	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-8	23	16.2	17.2	-1.00	15.4	13.8	1.57
Bradley Beal	70	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	16.7	17.2	-0.57	13.7	16.7	-3.05
Eric Gordon	38	38	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.06	13	-6	19	16.1	17.3	-1.26	15.6	13.5	2.11
Devin Booker	73	73	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.30	-3	10	-13	16.8	16.8	0.01	13.8	16.2	-2.41
Grayson Allen	64	65	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	11	-15	16.7	16.9	-0.19	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Royce O'Neale	34	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	4	-1	17.6	16.3	1.21	15.5	13.7	1.85
Bol Bol	22	22	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	5	-3	17.4	16.6	0.81	16.1	13.8	2.27
Drew Eubanks	52	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	18	-29	17.8	15.4	2.42	13.6	15.2	-1.57

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Gillespie	32	32	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-13	19	14.5	14.3	0.27	16.1	17.2	-1.07
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	69	70	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.35	11	-18	29	14.0	15.5	-1.49	17.4	15.0	2.42
Michael Porter Jr.	65	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-11	15	14.0	15.1	-1.08	16.7	16.9	-0.19
Aaron Gordon	68	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-13	19	14.3	14.5	-0.23	17.5	14.9	2.54
Julian Strawther	8	7	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	1	-9	16.6	14.1	2.48	15.4	16.9	-1.48
Justin Holiday	19	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	3	-13	14.1	14.4	-0.38	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Nikola Jokic	81	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-9	11	13.9	17.7	-3.80	16.8	16.8	-0.05
Peyton Watson	38	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	9	-25	15.1	13.8	1.31	16.7	16.9	-0.15
Reggie Jackson	57	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.19	-11	4	-15	14.3	14.5	-0.19	16.9	16.6	0.35
Christian Braun	28	27	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	12	-31	16.1	13.6	2.46	15.7	17.3	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, NOP 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0	94.6%
ATL 102, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
MEM 100, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%