inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 132 Excitement11.2 [40] MVPJabari Smith Jr. (HOU): +44.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 126 Comeback23.5 [53] LVPLuguentz Dort (OKC): -18.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.0.450,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45-0.010.460.011057%0.533-0.09875%-0.01
Jalen Green0.330,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.330.200.10-0.032474%0.465-0.132100%0.02
Dillon Brooks0.160,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.15,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.160.000.12-0.041853%0.283-0.11250%-0.01
Amen Thompson0.110,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.110.090.040.011860%0.151-0.04683%0.02
Jock Landale0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.04-0.01647%0.061-0.01333%-0.05
Jeff Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.02-0.01844%0.0400.0000%0.00
Reggie Bullock Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Fred VanVleet0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.020.01-0.01-0.021250%0.051-0.032100%0.00
Aaron Holiday-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jae'Sean Tate-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Giddey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.390.390.140.21-0.042061%0.421-0.031164%-0.02
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.130.080.03989%0.201-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.180.180.140.040.001081%0.221-0.041100%0.00
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.00772%0.1000.00450%-0.02
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.01462%0.083-0.0900%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.03-0.022348%0.245-0.252100%0.02
Cason Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01540%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.04233%0.015-0.092100%0.01
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.07-0.12-0.011033%-0.111-0.074100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.81.828.414.430.21.636.71.812.1151.8
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.1135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +26.6%
HOU +9.9%
OKC -8.5%
HOU +18.6%
HOU +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game14.713.414.5115.8112.5113.9
season14.213.9113.2117.1
opponent14.714.6109.7112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU14.014.514.116.016.114.7
OKC13.712.112.616.012.313.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fred VanVleet94920.65-0.150.800.418-21014.913.71.1913.214.4-1.22
Amen Thompson83830.60-0.100.700.3110-41414.515.2-0.6813.114.1-0.99
Dillon Brooks92900.59-0.090.690.368-21015.113.12.0313.214.3-1.14
Jalen Green100980.56-0.060.620.2112-61814.615.6-0.9613.214.9-1.74
Jabari Smith Jr.75750.54-0.040.590.318-21014.215.8-1.5813.712.80.96
Jock Landale41400.030.47-0.440.0015-415.614.21.4113.913.10.81
Reggie Bullock Jr.1514-0.060.56-0.620.03-39-1212.915.0-2.0713.913.30.52
Jae'Sean Tate2220-0.100.60-0.700.10-713-2015.014.70.3912.213.7-1.40
Jeff Green2727-0.150.65-0.79-0.03-410-1415.114.60.5514.513.11.42
Aaron Holiday2121-0.160.66-0.83-0.08-39-1214.014.9-0.9514.613.11.50

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chet Holmgren41430.14-0.640.770.111-7812.513.9-1.3614.015.2-1.17
Mike Muscala9110.08-0.580.66-0.044-101411.913.5-1.6513.314.9-1.61
Jaylin Williams2929-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-3014.713.01.6915.314.50.83
Cason Wallace5654-0.04-0.460.420.08-4-2-212.514.3-1.8014.814.70.09
Kenrich Williams4239-0.06-0.440.38-0.308-142213.813.20.6515.214.50.65
Isaiah Joe6870-0.06-0.440.37-0.3911-172813.713.00.7015.014.30.63
Gordon Hayward4344-0.24-0.260.02-0.06-60-613.813.10.7115.314.31.00
Luguentz Dort7477-0.560.06-0.61-0.38-60-613.213.7-0.4714.315.7-1.44
Josh Giddey6770-0.560.06-0.63-0.36-71-813.313.6-0.3714.614.9-0.22
Aaron Wiggins5152-0.580.08-0.66-0.17-148-2213.513.40.0915.414.11.31
Jalen Williams8081-0.600.10-0.70-0.19-148-2213.712.51.2214.415.6-1.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.53,0.54,0.41,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.46,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 134, MIN 1280.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.41,0.39,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.91,0.54,0.32,0.15,0.24,0.08,088.5%
BOS 102, NYK 930.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.14,0.16,0.01,088.3%
PHX 107, CHI 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,088.1%