NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	108		Excitement	9.3 [115]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +69.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	11.3 [182]		LVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): -24.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.70	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.7	-0.03	0.72	-0.01	19	40%	0.72	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.08
Norman Powell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.16,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	-0.00	7	69%	0.20	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Amir Coffey	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	5	83%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Ivica Zubac	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	73%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
James Harden	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	18	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Terance Mann	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	10	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.59	0.59	0.12	0.47	-0.00	11	77%	0.62	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.02	20	57%	0.29	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.01	6	75%	0.22	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.25	-0.25	-0.06	-0.19	0.00	17	44%	-0.10	3	-0.15	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.8	28.3	15.7	26.0	2.6	42.3	143.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -37.6%

LAC +46.3%

PHI -15.7%

LAC +24.7%

LAC +32.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	14.5	114.9	113.8	113.9
season	14.9	14.9		116.6	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.6	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.4	16.4	16.0	15.2	15.1
PHI	13.3	16.3	16.0	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	72	74	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.55	5	-4	9	13.9	19.3	-5.38	15.3	16.3	-1.09
Amir Coffey	43	43	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.51	6	-5	11	15.5	14.9	0.63	15.7	15.3	0.34
Paul George	66	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-3	7	14.5	16.7	-2.18	16.0	14.0	2.08
Norman Powell	56	54	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.49	3	-2	5	15.8	14.2	1.62	15.6	15.4	0.20
James Harden	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	0	1	14.9	16.1	-1.19	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Mason Plumlee	13	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-2	5	16.2	15.0	1.26	15.5	15.5	0.06
P.J. Tucker	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	3	-5	23.3	14.6	8.74	13.8	15.6	-1.78
Terance Mann	51	52	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	6	-11	14.9	15.5	-0.63	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Ivica Zubac	55	55	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.08	-4	5	-9	14.5	16.0	-1.50	15.7	15.2	0.49
Russell Westbrook	32	30	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	7	-13	17.8	13.8	4.04	14.6	15.9	-1.31

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Reed	40	39	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-4	7	14.6	16.1	-1.46	16.7	14.0	2.73
Mo Bamba	38	38	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-3	5	15.8	15.3	0.55	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Kyle Lowry	44	45	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-4	7	15.3	15.6	-0.28	14.6	15.7	-1.05
Cameron Payne	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	1	-3	18.4	15.2	3.15	13.9	15.3	-1.40
Tobias Harris	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-2	3	15.3	16.2	-0.84	15.4	14.0	1.40
Tyrese Maxey	86	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.49	1	-2	3	15.2	18.4	-3.15	15.3	13.9	1.40
Buddy Hield	50	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.50	-2	1	-3	15.6	15.3	0.28	15.3	14.9	0.41
Kelly Oubre Jr.	74	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.54	-4	3	-7	15.8	14.3	1.51	15.0	15.8	-0.87
Nicolas Batum	55	55	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.51	-7	6	-13	15.7	15.2	0.44	14.5	16.1	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.85,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.77,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.76,0.71,0	91.0%
NYK 85, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.92,0	90.8%
TOR 103, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.58,0	89.8%