NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	83		Excitement	9.2 [106]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +13.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	81		Comeback	40.5 [17]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -68.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	15	55%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Terry Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Dumars	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.06	0.02	12	62%	0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38,-0.38,-0.44,-0.39,-0.28,-0.1	-0.17	0.09	0.01	22	42%	0.09	5	-0.18	8	50%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	18	55%	0.11	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	18	56%	-0.01	3	-0.09	7	43%	-0.05
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	11	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	11	35%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.69	-0.69	-0.21	-0.46	0.01	19	27%	-0.58	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	26.4	14.7	26.3	2.5	37.7	132.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +103.7%

DET +8.1%

PHI -47.9%

PHI -18.9%

DET +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	93.3	89.0	104.4
season	17.1	14.7		107.6	101.4
opponent	14.7	16.2		108.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.5	17.5	14.1	15.8	16.2
PHI	12.5	16.0	14.2	22.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	74	78	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.43	14	-12	26	16.0	16.9	-0.89	16.6	11.4	5.17
Joe Dumars	78	79	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.54	9	-7	16	16.1	17.2	-1.13	15.4	18.5	-3.09
Otis Thorpe	47	48	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.57	7	-5	12	17.4	14.9	2.53	16.3	15.3	0.97
Terry Mills	28	31	0.74	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-8	18	16.2	16.2	0.03	19.6	13.8	5.81
Lindsey Hunter	71	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.50	-6	8	-14	16.4	15.3	1.14	15.3	17.5	-2.16
Rick Mahorn	7	8	0.12	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	-4	10	16.9	16.1	0.72	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Theo Ratliff	19	19	-0.04	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	4	-6	13.6	16.9	-3.25	11.9	16.8	-4.89
Kenny Smith	1	1	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	4	-6	1.0	16.4	-15.36	0.0	16.0	-15.99
Stacey Augmon	33	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.10	-2	4	-6	16.1	16.2	-0.11	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Michael Curry	25	25	-0.33	0.82	-1.15	-0.01	-11	13	-24	17.5	15.7	1.85	17.0	15.4	1.58
Grant Long	62	61	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.17	-13	15	-28	15.8	17.0	-1.21	14.9	17.6	-2.67

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don MacLean	13	13	0.06	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-4	6	17.7	15.5	2.19	19.1	15.7	3.38
Doug Overton	19	18	0.05	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-4	6	14.8	16.1	-1.29	16.4	16.1	0.25
Lucious Harris	19	18	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-4	6	16.4	15.7	0.70	17.1	16.0	1.15
Michael Cage	15	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	2	-6	21.5	14.7	6.85	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Derrick Coleman	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-4	6	14.7	21.5	-6.85	16.3	15.5	0.82
Clar. Weatherspoon	78	76	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.36	-4	2	-6	15.5	17.7	-2.19	15.7	19.1	-3.38
Jerry Stackhouse	78	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-1	0	15.5	17.8	-2.37	16.0	17.3	-1.23
Allen Iverson	72	71	-0.54	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	16.1	14.8	1.29	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Mark Davis	85	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	3	-8	16.0	13.2	2.83	16.1	16.9	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.76,0.71,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 87, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.77,0.74,0	93.2%
TOR 84, WAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.74,0	92.3%
NYK 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,0	92.1%