inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 83 Excitement9.2 [106] MVPLindsey Hunter (DET): +13.2%
Philadelphia 76ers 81 Comeback40.5 [17] LVPJerry Stackhouse (PHI): -68.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.040.09-0.001555%0.151-0.021100%0.00
Terry Mills0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.01956%0.103-0.0900%0.00
Rick Mahorn-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenny Smith-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Curry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Grant Long-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01844%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Theo Ratliff-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00050%-0.021-0.04250%-0.02
Joe Dumars-0.080,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.060.021262%0.054-0.1300%0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.00450%0.004-0.1000%0.00
Grant Hill-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38,-0.38,-0.44,-0.39,-0.28,-0.1-0.170.090.012242%0.095-0.18850%-0.02
Stacey Augmon-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00529%-0.091-0.02450%-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Doug Overton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00260%0.0200.001100%0.01
Michael Cage00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Don MacLean0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Derrick Coleman0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.02-0.021855%0.116-0.154100%0.02
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.01540%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Allen Iverson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.090.011856%-0.013-0.09743%-0.05
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.001132%-0.1100.00367%-0.01
Mark Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.10-0.021135%-0.1500.00475%0.04
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.69-0.69-0.21-0.460.011927%-0.584-0.10250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.526.414.726.32.537.7132.2
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +103.7%
DET +8.1%
PHI -47.9%
PHI -18.9%
DET +5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETPHINBADETPHINBA
this game16.215.815.693.389.0104.4
season17.114.7107.6101.4
opponent14.716.2108.4102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.517.514.115.816.2
PHI12.516.014.222.115.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Hill74780.84-0.341.180.4314-122616.016.9-0.8916.611.45.17
Joe Dumars78790.81-0.311.120.549-71616.117.2-1.1315.418.5-3.09
Otis Thorpe47480.78-0.281.060.577-51217.414.92.5316.315.30.97
Terry Mills28310.74-0.250.990.4510-81816.216.20.0319.613.85.81
Lindsey Hunter71710.330.170.160.50-68-1416.415.31.1415.317.5-2.16
Rick Mahorn780.120.37-0.25-0.056-41016.916.10.7215.415.9-0.48
Theo Ratliff1919-0.040.53-0.570.02-24-613.616.9-3.2511.916.8-4.89
Kenny Smith11-0.070.56-0.63-0.01-24-61.016.4-15.360.016.0-15.99
Stacey Augmon3334-0.150.65-0.80-0.10-24-616.116.2-0.1115.416.1-0.69
Michael Curry2525-0.330.82-1.15-0.01-1113-2417.515.71.8517.015.41.58
Grant Long6261-0.551.05-1.60-0.17-1315-2815.817.0-1.2114.917.6-2.67

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Don MacLean13130.06-0.550.61-0.002-4617.715.52.1919.115.73.38
Doug Overton19180.05-0.540.59-0.012-4614.816.1-1.2916.416.10.25
Lucious Harris1918-0.00-0.490.49-0.062-4616.415.70.7017.116.01.15
Michael Cage1514-0.07-0.430.360.05-42-621.514.76.8515.516.3-0.82
Derrick Coleman7675-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.492-4614.721.5-6.8516.315.50.82
Clar. Weatherspoon7876-0.48-0.01-0.47-0.36-42-615.517.7-2.1915.719.1-3.38
Jerry Stackhouse7878-0.510.01-0.52-0.48-1-1015.517.8-2.3716.017.3-1.23
Allen Iverson7271-0.540.05-0.59-0.43-42-616.114.81.2916.116.4-0.25
Mark Davis8582-0.550.05-0.60-0.40-53-816.013.22.8316.116.9-0.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.76,0.71,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 87, HOU 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.77,0.74,093.2%
TOR 84, WAS 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.74,092.3%
NYK 100, MIN 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,092.1%