NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	84		Excitement	9.1 [133]		MVP	Cory Joseph (TOR): +65.3%
Washington Wizards	82		Comeback	22.6 [62]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -21.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.65	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.65	0.04	0.61	-0.00	7	86%	0.76	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.12	0.03	-0.15	0.00	19	64%	0.16	6	-0.28	4	75%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.21	-0.07	-0.16	-0.02	20	45%	-0.08	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.10	0.01	9	77%	0.20	4	-0.24	8	100%	0.04
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	10	54%	0.07	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	6	7%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.10	0.02	14	55%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	7	17%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.21	-0.20	-0.03	-0.02	25	31%	-0.10	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.5	14.7	24.6	1.8	38.7	137.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +90.5%

WAS -6.3%

WAS -19.9%

WAS -16.9%

TOR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	14.9	87.5	85.4	105.1
season	16.1	13.8		107.2	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		104.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	15.6	14.9	15.3	15.3
WAS	13.3	16.4	14.5	14.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	57	57	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.65	3	-1	4	14.9	15.9	-1.01	14.3	15.2	-0.89
Kyle Lowry	67	69	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.49	6	-4	10	15.2	15.7	-0.53	14.8	14.4	0.38
Cory Joseph	68	67	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-6	14	15.0	16.1	-1.06	15.1	13.8	1.32
DeMar DeRozan	78	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-1	4	14.8	17.4	-2.61	14.8	14.0	0.84
Luis Scola	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.62	-9	11	-20	16.1	14.3	1.81	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Bismack Biyombo	69	69	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.12	5	-3	8	14.8	16.6	-1.77	14.9	14.1	0.79
James Johnson	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	3	-4	19.1	15.0	4.15	17.9	14.4	3.49
Patrick Patterson	41	39	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	6	-10	15.6	15.1	0.50	14.8	14.6	0.28
Terrence Ross	39	40	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.19	-1	3	-4	16.4	14.6	1.83	14.0	15.1	-1.12

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	28	28	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.12	2	-4	6	15.1	14.5	0.66	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Jared Dudley	59	59	0.12	-0.61	0.73	-0.09	7	-9	16	14.6	14.8	-0.22	16.1	14.1	1.98
Marcin Gortat	67	68	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-1	0	14.7	14.6	0.08	15.4	15.1	0.36
Kelly Oubre	3	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	19.0	14.5	4.46	4.0	15.8	-11.82
Bradley Beal	82	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-6	10	14.5	15.8	-1.30	15.0	17.2	-2.21
Ramon Sessions	48	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	2	-6	14.8	14.6	0.23	15.8	14.8	1.01
John Wall	79	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	2	-6	14.9	13.7	1.18	15.5	14.7	0.80
Garrett Temple	35	34	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.54	-4	2	-6	13.8	15.2	-1.38	16.5	14.7	1.82
Otto Porter	79	79	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.56	-8	6	-14	14.7	14.6	0.11	14.7	18.2	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.76,0.71,0	92.3%
TOR 103, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.58,0	91.1%
NYK 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,0	90.9%