NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	8.3 [168]		MVP	Chris Childs (NYK): +13.0%
Orlando Magic	84		Comeback	15.1 [63]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -40.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,0.13	-0.03	0.16	0.00	7	50%	0.27	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	13	69%	0.16	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Erick Strickland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	19	49%	-0.01	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Larry Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	11	32%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	8	25%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31	-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	9	23%	-0.14	3	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	53%	-0.03	2	-0.06	7	57%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	15	52%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.3	-0.30	-0.07	-0.23	-0.00	23	47%	-0.22	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.4	-0.40	-0.01	-0.39	0.01	11	62%	-0.11	4	-0.29	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.7	29.2	21.5	26.4	2.7	42.2	151.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +57.2%

ORL -1.1%

ORL -14.2%

NYK +3.3%

NYK +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.5	92.4	95.5	100.9
season	16.4	14.6		99.2	101.6
opponent	15.8	16.1		100.8	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	15.0	18.6	15.5	16.1
ORL	15.4	15.6	14.1	18.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	53	52	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-13	27	14.7	17.9	-3.22	16.6	15.0	1.58
Allan Houston	65	63	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.61	0	1	-1	16.2	15.7	0.51	16.2	15.2	1.08
Latrell Sprewell	72	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	1	-1	16.8	13.5	3.28	16.2	15.0	1.15
Erick Strickland	35	31	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	-2	5	14.6	17.0	-2.41	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Travis Knight	17	14	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	2	-3	16.4	16.0	0.43	13.7	16.4	-2.64
Larry Johnson	56	58	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	5	-9	17.4	14.0	3.44	16.0	15.9	0.10
Kurt Thomas	69	64	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	0	1	15.6	17.5	-1.94	16.5	14.5	1.91
Glen Rice	54	51	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.20	5	-4	9	15.0	17.6	-2.53	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Charlie Ward	39	36	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	14	-27	17.9	14.7	3.22	15.0	16.6	-1.58

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	34	34	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-11	21	15.0	16.5	-1.47	18.3	14.7	3.58
John Amaechi	73	75	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.00	7	-8	15	16.2	14.8	1.36	16.3	15.1	1.23
Bo Outlaw	87	91	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.12	1	-2	3	16.0	12.0	3.98	16.2	2.0	14.22
Elliot Perry	21	24	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	3	-7	14.9	16.3	-1.41	14.4	16.7	-2.29
Andrew DeClercq	12	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	1	-3	14.7	16.1	-1.46	14.9	16.3	-1.35
Mike Miller	7	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	0	-1	15.3	16.0	-0.70	18.0	15.9	2.12
Tracy McGrady	81	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.55	6	-7	13	16.1	14.4	1.63	16.4	11.9	4.55
Darrell Armstrong	67	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.60	3	-4	7	16.3	14.9	1.41	16.7	14.4	2.29
Troy Hudson	1	1	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.59	-2	1	-3	12.0	16.0	-3.98	2.0	16.2	-14.22
Pat Garrity	26	28	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	8	-17	16.7	15.6	1.02	15.3	16.4	-1.07
Monty Williams	31	31	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	13	-27	16.1	15.9	0.20	12.8	17.7	-4.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.73,0	91.9%
DET 83, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.76,0.71,0	90.6%
ORL 87, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.74,0	90.6%