NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	4.9 [805]		MVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): +17.6%
Atlanta Hawks	120		Comeback	1.5 [1117]		LVP	Scoot Henderson (POR): -13.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalano Banton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.00	-0.02	23	67%	0.22	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	9	94%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Duop Reath	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.04
Justin Minaya	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ibou Badji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashton Hagans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	83%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jabari Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	16	45%	-0.02	6	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.21	0.01	0.04	20	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	11	75%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.01	-0.02	6	92%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	16	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	4	20%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	5	81%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	4	58%	0.05	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	30.4	14.7	26.2	1.8	28.0	127.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.2%

ATL +11.1%

ATL +10.6%

ATL +0.1%

ATL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	14.5	106.0	120.0	113.9
season	14.8	14.2		106.9	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.5		118.0	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.5	14.6	13.2	14.1	13.9
ATL	12.7	12.0	16.8	19.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Minaya	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	5.0	14.1	-9.05	20.7	14.8	5.91
Ibou Badji	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	5.0	14.1	-9.05	20.7	14.8	5.91
Moses Brown	29	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-9	4	12.5	14.4	-1.91	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Ashton Hagans	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-12	10	13.3	14.2	-0.92	15.0	14.9	0.06
Rayan Rupert	78	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-12	10	13.6	14.7	-1.10	15.9	11.1	4.85
Toumani Camara	65	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-14	14	14.0	13.5	0.50	14.0	16.6	-2.61
Jabari Walker	39	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-6	-2	12.9	14.5	-1.59	16.1	14.1	2.03
Scoot Henderson	66	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-2	-10	14.2	13.3	0.92	14.9	15.0	-0.06
Kris Murray	46	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	4	-22	15.2	12.8	2.41	13.4	16.2	-2.78
Dalano Banton	77	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	1	-16	13.8	14.1	-0.34	15.0	14.6	0.46
Duop Reath	62	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	2	-18	14.9	12.1	2.80	14.7	15.4	-0.70

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	77	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-5	24	15.1	14.3	0.81	14.3	12.5	1.80
De'Andre Hunter	63	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.10	20	-6	26	14.3	16.0	-1.74	14.8	12.1	2.79
Vit Krejci	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	3	8	14.7	15.4	-0.71	14.3	12.8	1.54
Dejounte Murray	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	1	12	14.5	16.2	-1.65	14.4	12.2	2.17
Clint Capela	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	7	0	14.8	15.1	-0.29	14.9	12.7	2.19
Bruno Fernando	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	7	0	15.1	14.8	0.29	12.7	14.9	-2.19
Garrison Mathews	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	10	-6	15.2	14.7	0.41	12.8	14.8	-1.96
Dylan Windler	37	35	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.19	-6	20	-26	16.0	14.3	1.74	12.1	14.8	-2.79
Trent Forrest	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	19	-24	15.6	14.6	1.00	12.1	14.8	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, WAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
GSW 92, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SEA 91, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%