NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	8.6 [200]		MVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): +57.6%
San Antonio Spurs	104		Comeback	3.6 [88]		LVP	Zach Collins (SAS): -16.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.27	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.29,0.19,0.27	0.06	0.22	0.01	28	57%	0.45	5	-0.18	7	71%	0.07
Royce O'Neale	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	6	100%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	46%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.02	0.18	-0.15	-0.00	17	81%	0.12	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Bol Bol	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	11	41%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.58	0.58	0.14	0.43	-0.01	19	60%	0.58	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.13	0.00	9	70%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.01	24	52%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Julian Champagnie	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.01	-0.15	0.02	14	53%	0.02	3	-0.18	6	67%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	22.0	14.7	33.4	2.4	29.6	127.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +13.1%

SAS +4.0%

SAS +11.0%

SAS +19.7%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	14.5	104.1	105.1	113.9
season	14.6	13.9		116.1	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.4		115.2	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.3	16.4	12.8	15.6	15.1
SAS	13.7	15.7	12.9	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	44	46	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-9	16	15.5	14.8	0.69	13.0	15.0	-1.98
Jusuf Nurkic	39	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	0	-2	15.6	14.8	0.78	14.3	14.0	0.26
Grayson Allen	70	71	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.26	5	-7	12	15.1	15.3	-0.25	14.2	13.9	0.29
Bradley Beal	65	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-1	0	14.9	15.5	-0.61	14.0	14.4	-0.43
Kevin Durant	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-7	12	15.5	14.2	1.35	14.9	11.9	2.95
Devin Booker	82	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-1	0	14.8	16.9	-2.14	13.8	15.6	-1.74
Bol Bol	17	15	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	8	-18	15.9	15.0	0.97	15.2	13.9	1.30
Royce O'Neale	52	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.44	-4	2	-6	15.3	15.0	0.27	13.8	14.5	-0.75
Eric Gordon	49	50	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.41	-9	7	-16	14.4	15.8	-1.39	14.4	13.8	0.60

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Wesley	43	43	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-13	28	13.4	14.7	-1.29	15.6	14.8	0.86
Devin Vassell	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-7	16	13.7	15.2	-1.52	14.5	17.0	-2.46
Keldon Johnson	64	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	1	0	14.5	13.4	1.08	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Jeremy Sochan	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	-1	4	13.7	15.4	-1.68	15.5	14.1	1.43
Dominick Barlow	37	37	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	-4	10	14.2	14.1	0.10	15.1	15.2	-0.14
Julian Champagnie	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	-6	14	13.2	14.8	-1.58	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Zach Collins	61	61	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	6	-10	14.2	13.9	0.29	15.2	15.1	0.14
Cedi Osman	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	6	-10	14.8	13.8	0.93	17.2	14.3	2.98
Tre Jones	56	55	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.34	-13	15	-28	14.7	13.4	1.29	14.8	15.6	-0.86
Malaki Branham	14	13	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	13	-24	17.4	13.6	3.79	16.8	14.9	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.54,0.7,0.86,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.81,0.43,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 103, TOR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.73,1	90.4%
LAC 112, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.81,0.66,0.43,0.72,1	89.8%
OKC 99, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.68,0.87,1	88.9%