NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	103		Excitement	8.1 [215]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +40.6%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	2.8 [522]		LVP	Sonny Weems (TOR): -7.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.09	-0.03	13	56%	0.19	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0	0.08	-0.06	0.02	12	85%	0.32	6	-0.32	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.01	18	64%	0.17	7	-0.22	11	100%	0.09
D.J. Augustin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.38,0.41	0.41	0.17	0.21	-0.02	20	65%	0.44	1	-0.04	11	100%	0.09
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	20	64%	0.33	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	54%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	32.1	16.4	35.8	2.5	39.6	154.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -12.8%

TOR +11.6%

TOR +8.3%

TOR +42.1%

TOR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.3	110.8	113.8	106.0
season	16.2	15.0		103.0	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		111.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.8	15.4	16.5	13.3	15.3
TOR	12.5	15.9	15.5	18.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	35	34	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.06	5	-9	14	15.6	15.1	0.47	14.0	16.4	-2.43
Nazr Mohammed	16	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	1	-6	17.2	14.9	2.30	16.4	15.3	1.09
Derrick Brown	16	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	2	-8	16.0	15.1	0.87	10.5	16.5	-6.01
Ronald Murray	45	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-7	10	14.0	16.5	-2.52	16.8	14.3	2.43
Stephen Graham	31	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	0	-4	15.5	15.2	0.26	15.8	15.4	0.46
Raymond Felton	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-1	-2	14.8	16.6	-1.86	14.5	18.3	-3.81
Stephen Jackson	89	91	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-6	8	14.6	30.0	-15.38	15.7	10.0	5.70
D.J. Augustin	28	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	1	-6	17.4	14.4	3.07	17.9	14.5	3.33
Gerald Wallace	85	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-3	2	15.6	12.0	3.59	15.5	15.5	0.02
Boris Diaw	52	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	2	-8	15.4	15.1	0.33	16.2	14.6	1.52

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	42	41	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-1	6	16.5	14.7	1.73	14.6	15.8	-1.15
Antoine Wright	35	35	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	2	0	16.2	15.1	1.13	14.3	15.9	-1.59
Jarrett Jack	76	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	0	4	14.8	18.5	-3.68	14.6	18.1	-3.55
Chris Bosh	75	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	0	4	15.2	16.9	-1.72	14.8	16.9	-2.13
Andrea Bargnani	76	77	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	1	2	16.3	12.4	3.87	16.4	10.0	6.38
Sonny Weems	49	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	1	2	14.0	17.2	-3.14	14.6	16.0	-1.31
Amir Johnson	32	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	4	-4	16.2	15.2	1.01	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Marcus Banks	18	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	4	-4	18.5	14.8	3.68	18.1	14.6	3.55
DeMar DeRozan	42	41	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	2	0	13.9	16.8	-2.88	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Hedo Turkoglu	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	7	-10	16.5	15.2	1.31	18.2	14.2	3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.69,0.92,1	91.5%
WAS 91, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1	91.3%
LAC 91, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.69,0.58,1	91.3%