NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	8.5 [166]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +19.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	94		Comeback	3.3 [648]		LVP	Wayne Ellington (MIN): -16.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2	0.14	0.07	0.01	10	69%	0.20	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.03
Nikola Pekovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	7	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.02	17	58%	0.11	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	14	44%	0.02	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.08,-0.14	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	14	41%	-0.04	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	6	36%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	17	59%	0.16	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.10
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	3	44%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.10	-0.00	17	49%	0.17	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	13	41%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	30.3	15.4	27.5	2.6	34.0	138.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +24.2%

MIL +23.5%

MIN -7.9%

MIL +11.0%

MIN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MIL	NBA	MIN	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.5	92.6	100.0	105.7
season	14.3	16.2		102.7	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		100.9	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.7	14.1	13.1	16.3	14.7
MIL	15.0	18.0	14.1	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-7	8	15.1	14.4	0.68	17.2	14.8	2.34
Martell Webster	33	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-2	-2	13.5	15.3	-1.76	15.7	15.8	-0.06
Nikola Pekovic	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-5	4	15.5	14.4	1.10	16.7	15.4	1.29
Darko Milicic	43	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-4	2	14.7	14.7	-0.08	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Luke Ridnour	66	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-7	8	14.9	14.2	0.75	16.1	15.0	1.17
Wesley Johnson	73	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-8	10	14.9	14.1	0.73	16.3	14.2	2.04
Sebastian Telfair	29	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	1	-8	14.2	14.9	-0.75	15.0	16.1	-1.17
Kevin Love	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	14.6	14.9	-0.24	15.4	16.7	-1.37
Michael Beasley	63	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	14.8	14.5	0.29	14.6	17.8	-3.19
Wayne Ellington	38	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	5	-16	14.4	14.9	-0.46	15.9	15.7	0.17

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	39	39	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-5	16	16.5	15.3	1.28	15.0	14.5	0.52
Brandon Jennings	89	91	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	1	4	15.9	13.4	2.52	14.5	18.2	-3.71
Corey Maggette	51	51	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	3	0	16.1	15.4	0.64	14.8	14.6	0.15
Jon Brockman	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	0	6	16.4	15.1	1.30	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Carlos Delfino	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	0	6	15.5	16.9	-1.41	14.6	15.0	-0.45
John Salmons	74	74	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	9	-12	15.8	15.9	-0.14	14.8	14.5	0.28
Luc Mbah a Moute	26	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	-2	10	14.0	16.5	-2.42	14.0	15.0	-0.93
Andrew Bogut	45	46	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	6	-6	15.1	16.4	-1.30	15.1	14.3	0.76
Earl Boykins	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	6	-6	0.0	15.8	-15.79	0.0	14.9	-14.85
Ersan Ilyasova	23	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	12	-18	16.4	15.6	0.80	15.6	14.4	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, SEA 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.54,0.48,0.71,0.57,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.5%
WAS 91, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1	92.3%
IND 89, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.91,1	92.2%