NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	7.4 [386]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +29.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	105		Comeback	4.5 [520]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): -27.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	30	53%	0.14	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.06	13	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.05
Lucious Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	3	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	7	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	13	18%	-0.27	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.16	-0.00	11	88%	0.36	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.02	2	87%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	19	57%	0.11	6	-0.14	9	89%	0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	13	51%	-0.03	3	-0.09	9	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	28.2	15.6	32.1	1.8	40.2	146.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +70.4%

CLE -2.7%

SEA +6.4%

CLE -25.4%

SEA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SEA	NBA	CLE	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	15.5	104.3	114.1	104.0
season	16.2	16.5		104.6	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.3		107.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	16.6	17.2	15.7	16.2
SEA	15.9	15.4	16.2	12.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	62	61	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-14	20	15.2	18.2	-2.94	15.2	14.3	0.96
Sasha Pavlovic	6	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	20.7	15.9	4.77	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-7	6	15.4	17.6	-2.27	16.5	12.2	4.32
Robert Traylor	17	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	19.5	15.5	4.00	13.9	15.1	-1.18
Anderson Varejao	23	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-4	0	20.0	15.0	4.99	13.5	15.3	-1.81
Drew Gooden	55	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	15.2	17.6	-2.41	15.7	13.5	2.15
Eric Snow	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-6	4	16.4	16.0	0.40	16.1	14.1	1.92
LeBron James	87	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	15.9	20.7	-4.77	15.1	13.0	2.08
Lucious Harris	40	40	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	1	-10	17.8	15.0	2.76	12.0	17.2	-5.22
Jeff McInnis	77	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	2	-12	15.6	19.3	-3.75	14.4	17.1	-2.69

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	84	84	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.25	13	-5	18	14.9	15.1	-0.22	15.8	20.3	-4.57
Danny Fortson	29	31	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-2	12	15.1	14.9	0.21	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	65	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	0	8	13.9	17.3	-3.36	16.2	16.1	0.13
Ray Allen	82	82	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	3	2	14.7	16.4	-1.66	16.3	15.5	0.85
Ronald Murray	25	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	5	-2	14.4	15.1	-0.77	18.0	15.4	2.62
Luke Ridnour	74	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	4	0	15.0	14.7	0.25	15.7	18.0	-2.29
Jerome James	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.26	10	-2	12	16.7	14.1	2.53	17.4	15.6	1.81
Nick Collison	32	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	14	-20	13.1	15.9	-2.76	17.5	15.5	1.93
Reggie Evans	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	8	-8	17.3	13.8	3.53	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Vitaly Potapenko	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	15	-22	17.2	14.6	2.55	9.9	17.0	-7.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.54,0.48,0.71,0.57,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, TOR 113	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.72,0.96,1,1	92.6%
MIN 88, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.69,0.92,1	92.5%
SAS 89, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%