NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	112		Excitement	9.8 [72]		MVP	Terance Mann (LAC): +30.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Comeback	3.0 [141]		LVP	Daniel Oturu (LAC): -33.0%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terance Mann	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.13	0.00	8	90%	0.30	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.17	0.01	0.17	0.01	11	45%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	14	46%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.02	0.03	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Scrubb	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	17	41%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	0.05	-0.13	-0.00	12	54%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Oturu	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33	-0.15	-0.18	-0.00	21	30%	-0.29	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,-0.06,-0.09,0.03,-0.06,-0.14,0,0.28	0.28	0.05	0.23	0.01	19	69%	0.50	7	-0.22	4	75%	0.04
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	21	52%	0.26	3	-0.14	6	33%	-0.13
Gabriel Deck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Roby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	-0.06	0.03	19	63%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Hoard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Charlie Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	10	29%	-0.12	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.8	27.2	14.8	25.2	2.5	25.8	118.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +64.3%

OKC +7.6%

OKC +18.6%

LAC -42.5%

OKC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.9	14.4	110.9	118.2	111.3
season	14.9	14.2		116.6	102.4
opponent	14.0	14.7		112.7	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	12.8	15.4	16.0	14.8
OKC	11.8	15.5	13.4	15.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	49	50	0.33	-0.83	1.15	-0.14	16	-21	37	13.8	15.8	-1.95	14.6	13.2	1.40
Patrick Beverley	43	42	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	-4	3	14.1	15.4	-1.26	13.0	14.6	-1.65
Ivica Zubac	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-5	5	17.0	14.8	2.18	0.0	13.9	-13.95
Serge Ibaka	40	37	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-4	3	15.1	14.7	0.47	14.1	13.8	0.30
Reggie Jackson	16	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	8	-21	16.3	14.6	1.75	11.3	14.4	-3.10
Luke Kennard	66	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	14.7	15.1	-0.46	13.3	15.0	-1.69
Daniel Oturu	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-3	1	14.8	15.1	-0.32	14.2	13.1	1.12
Jay Scrubb	72	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.44	-4	-1	-3	15.2	13.8	1.42	14.2	13.1	1.13
Patrick Patterson	89	88	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	5	-15	15.0	13.8	1.14	13.6	17.1	-3.53
Yogi Ferrell	53	52	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.47	-7	2	-9	15.2	14.5	0.73	15.2	12.5	2.74

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hall	90	91	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	13.5	18.4	-4.94	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Tony Bradley	27	29	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-3	11	14.9	13.6	1.29	15.7	14.5	1.14
Aleksej Pokusevski	84	85	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	3	-1	14.1	13.2	0.88	15.0	14.0	1.00
Jaylen Hoard	58	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.48	-7	12	-19	14.7	12.9	1.83	14.9	14.7	0.18
Charlie Brown Jr.	63	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.46	-8	13	-21	14.7	12.7	2.02	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Gabriel Deck	36	37	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	3	-1	15.4	13.1	2.35	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Moses Brown	81	81	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	5	-5	13.5	15.9	-2.37	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Theo Maledon	29	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.15	11	-6	17	11.8	14.9	-3.10	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Isaiah Roby	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.15	8	-3	11	12.4	14.5	-2.12	14.5	15.0	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.81,0.66,0.43,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	91.9%
ORL 93, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	90.7%
UTA 75, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.86,0.79,0.66,0.73,1	90.5%