NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	122		Excitement	3.5 [1081]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +11.3%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.8 [1090]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -8.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	13	71%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	-0.00	0.07	15	69%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	10	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	3	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	72%	0.05	6	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Myles Turner	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.05	7	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Tosan Evbuomwan	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	61%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Buddy Boeheim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Umude	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	22	46%	-0.00	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	27.5	14.6	30.0	1.8	28.0	129.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +49.8%

DET -1.0%

DET -3.4%

IND +5.9%

DET -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.5	119.6	99.0	113.9
season	13.8	14.2		120.0	108.4
opponent	14.3	14.7		117.6	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.6	14.7	12.7	15.0	13.7
DET	13.1	15.9	15.5	12.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	60	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.21	10	9	1	14.2	13.0	1.18	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Tyrese Haliburton	57	58	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	1	17	12.6	15.1	-2.54	14.8	13.6	1.21
Aaron Nesmith	54	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.16	17	2	15	12.9	14.7	-1.80	15.4	12.9	2.57
Andrew Nembhard	54	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	4	11	13.4	14.0	-0.62	15.1	13.2	1.88
Pascal Siakam	57	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	7	5	13.4	14.1	-0.67	14.7	13.6	1.13
Obi Toppin	32	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.19	14	5	9	13.6	13.8	-0.13	13.7	14.5	-0.75
Ben Sheppard	48	48	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	15	-11	14.0	13.4	0.62	13.2	15.1	-1.88
Doug McDermott	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	5	9	14.7	13.2	1.44	13.7	14.5	-0.84
T.J. McConnell	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	18	-17	15.4	12.6	2.79	13.7	14.6	-0.96
Kendall Brown	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	14.1	13.7	0.43	12.1	14.5	-2.37
James Johnson	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	26	-33	14.3	13.7	0.61	9.6	14.6	-5.01
Jarace Walker	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	26	-33	15.2	13.5	1.74	13.3	14.4	-1.07
Myles Turner	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.27	9	10	-1	13.0	14.2	-1.18	14.8	13.8	0.98

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Boeheim	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-26	33	9.6	14.6	-5.01	14.3	13.7	0.61
Malachi Flynn	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-26	33	9.6	14.6	-5.01	14.3	13.7	0.61
Troy Brown Jr.	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-23	27	12.5	15.0	-2.51	15.3	13.0	2.26
Marcus Sasser	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-17	15	14.6	14.0	0.53	14.4	13.2	1.21
Evan Fournier	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-13	7	14.3	14.2	0.04	14.1	13.4	0.72
Chimezie Metu	49	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-17	15	13.1	15.3	-2.19	13.7	13.7	0.06
Jalen Duren	69	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.40	-22	3	-25	15.0	12.8	2.13	13.2	14.8	-1.57
Tosan Evbuomwan	63	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-9	-1	14.6	13.7	0.92	13.8	13.7	0.10
Cade Cunningham	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	0	-19	15.3	12.6	2.73	13.4	14.2	-0.76
Jaden Ivey	66	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.24	-21	2	-23	14.5	13.9	0.59	13.4	14.3	-0.88
James Wiseman	38	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	-7	-5	13.8	14.5	-0.63	14.2	13.5	0.70
Stanley Umude	49	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.24	-27	8	-35	14.8	13.8	1.01	12.3	14.9	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 103, BKN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MIA 109, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
NJN 83, CLE 72	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.0%