NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	3.7 [1074]		MVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): +14.3%
Brooklyn Nets	86		Comeback	1.7 [938]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BKN): -15.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.04	16	76%	0.18	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.05	0.03	19	65%	0.15	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	-0.00	-0.06	7	47%	0.05	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
George Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	64%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	72%	0.06	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	45%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	6	57%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Danny Granger	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	7	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	73%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	10	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.05	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	-0.00	7	0%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	32.2	15.0	32.0	2.0	28.0	134.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.5%

IND +0.5%

IND +9.5%

IND +5.8%

BKN -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	15.1	106.2	89.6	105.2
season	15.8	15.7		102.7	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.3	15.7	15.0	15.2	15.5
BKN	15.0	14.9	13.2	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-3	23	15.2	16.6	-1.46	14.8	12.7	2.14
Lance Stephenson	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	-2	21	15.4	15.8	-0.39	14.1	15.7	-1.62
George Hill	48	48	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.18	20	-3	23	15.6	15.4	0.11	14.4	14.3	0.12
David West	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	4	9	15.6	15.4	0.26	14.2	14.4	-0.18
Roy Hibbert	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	3	11	15.9	14.9	1.07	14.8	13.6	1.25
Ian Mahinmi	40	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	14	-11	14.9	15.9	-1.07	13.6	14.8	-1.25
Luis Scola	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	11	-5	14.9	15.9	-1.07	14.4	14.3	0.16
CJ Watson	46	45	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	20	-23	15.2	15.8	-0.67	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Danny Granger	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	18	-19	15.3	15.6	-0.36	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Rasual Butler	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	20.0	15.4	4.64	17.3	14.2	3.10
Chris Copeland	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	20.2	15.3	4.95	14.5	14.3	0.17
Orlando Johnson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	20.2	15.3	4.95	14.5	14.3	0.17
Donald Sloan	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	20.2	15.3	4.95	14.5	14.3	0.17

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-22	27	14.2	14.4	-0.25	15.1	15.7	-0.55
Mason Plumlee	42	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-14	11	14.2	14.4	-0.25	15.9	15.2	0.76
Shaun Livingston	40	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-16	15	14.2	14.4	-0.27	14.6	16.2	-1.56
Kevin Garnett	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-15	13	12.8	15.3	-2.57	17.5	14.3	3.20
Paul Pierce	29	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-6	-5	15.6	13.8	1.80	13.8	16.4	-2.57
Alan Anderson	53	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-4	-9	13.5	15.3	-1.76	17.5	13.2	4.31
Andray Blatche	53	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-2	-13	15.0	13.5	1.57	13.9	17.5	-3.56
Deron Williams	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-2	-13	14.5	14.1	0.41	15.9	14.8	1.04
Mirza Teletovic	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-3	-11	14.8	13.6	1.20	15.4	15.7	-0.28
Joe Johnson	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-1	-15	14.5	14.0	0.45	15.2	16.4	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 115, PHX 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 114, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
NOP 113, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%