inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 117 Excitement4.5 [885] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +19.6%
San Antonio Spurs 106 Comeback1.1 [1209] LVPVictor Wembanyama (SAS): -12.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.160.040.001974%0.253-0.054100%0.02
Justin Holiday0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.070.02972%0.1400.0000%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0.120,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.030.01968%0.1200.001100%0.00
Christian Braun0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.010.03781%0.0810.00250%-0.01
Peyton Watson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.01-0.051143%0.0410.0010%-0.02
Aaron Gordon0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.01387%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Zeke Nnaji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julian Strawther0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jay Huff0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.02844%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01540%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.020.021644%0.013-0.062100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.03-0.02764%0.092-0.0300%0.00
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.01762%0.0500.00250%-0.00
Devin Vassell0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.031359%0.061-0.02367%-0.01
Zach Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02872%0.102-0.062100%0.00
Jeremy Sochan0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.001654%0.073-0.06367%0.01
Blake Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.02442%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Dominick Barlow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.010.033100%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Tre Jones0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.04650%0.013-0.02475%0.00
Malaki Branham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Victor Wembanyama0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.020.071252%-0.034-0.10989%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.324.315.626.41.829.6126.6
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +33.1%
DEN +4.1%
DEN +0.4%
DEN +11.5%
DEN +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game15.014.114.5119.4106.0113.9
season15.013.9116.2108.6
opponent14.314.6115.2111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.316.415.416.015.0
SAS17.713.112.912.814.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray70720.410.090.310.1492714.715.9-1.2614.213.60.64
Peyton Watson48490.390.110.280.1683515.314.80.5512.815.3-2.58
Justin Holiday44450.390.110.270.1874315.714.51.2613.014.9-1.95
Christian Braun51510.390.110.270.1583515.714.31.4113.115.1-2.02
Zeke Nnaji35360.280.220.050.1065115.115.00.1713.414.5-1.11
Nikola Jokic62630.220.28-0.050.0274314.815.4-0.5714.613.11.48
Michael Porter Jr.46480.110.39-0.27-0.0356-114.115.9-1.7815.312.92.39
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope54550.110.39-0.27-0.0047-314.515.7-1.2614.913.01.95
Aaron Gordon50510.110.39-0.280.0238-514.815.3-0.5515.312.82.58
Reggie Jackson28280.090.41-0.310.0329-715.914.71.2613.614.2-0.64
Julian Strawther110.000.50-0.500.06-213-1524.014.99.065.014.2-9.16
Jay Huff110.000.50-0.500.06-213-1524.014.99.065.014.2-9.16

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dominick Barlow2525-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-141713.814.1-0.3116.614.52.16
Zach Collins3229-0.10-0.400.300.14-8-3-512.714.7-1.9915.115.00.10
Blake Wesley3030-0.18-0.320.150.03-7-4-313.914.2-0.2915.614.80.82
Julian Champagnie5452-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-7-4-314.114.00.1715.414.70.71
Jeremy Sochan5958-0.23-0.270.03-0.21-1-10914.513.41.1515.114.90.18
Devin Vassell8180-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.11-5-6113.815.2-1.3415.114.90.17
Malaki Branham2524-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.01-10-1-914.414.00.3914.215.3-1.03
Tre Jones7068-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.21-4-7314.213.90.2914.815.6-0.82
Keldon Johnson5655-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.00-132-1513.814.4-0.5214.216.1-1.89
Victor Wembanyama6869-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.31-3-8514.712.71.9915.015.1-0.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.12,0.16,0.27,0.23,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 117, DET 1040.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,093.2%
UTA 102, GSW 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,093.1%
HOU 109, SEA 1000.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,093.1%