NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	117		Excitement	4.9 [918]		MVP	Julius Randle (NYK): +32.6%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.0 [1249]		LVP	Killian Hayes (DET): -8.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.33	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.30	0.05	0.02	24	75%	0.33	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.03
Jalen Brunson	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.01	0.04	17	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	13	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Mitchell Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	6	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	8	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	19	48%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	14	32%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	23.6	14.6	23.3	2.4	39.3	131.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.6%

NYK +7.0%

NYK +20.3%

NYK +12.7%

NYK +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	17.5	13.7	14.4	127.2	111.8	113.4
season	15.1	14.6		115.6	109.6
opponent	14.2	14.4		117.3	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	17.3	19.0	19.1	17.5
DET	13.2	13.4	14.5	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.04	20	-7	27	17.7	16.3	1.38	13.7	13.7	0.00
Julius Randle	75	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	-1	15	17.9	15.6	2.26	14.0	12.2	1.75
Mitchell Robinson	65	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-1	15	18.1	16.1	1.95	14.3	12.2	2.03
Immanuel Quickley	66	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	7	-1	17.5	17.5	-0.07	13.2	14.8	-1.62
Quentin Grimes	69	70	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	5	3	18.3	15.0	3.26	14.1	12.4	1.64
RJ Barrett	53	54	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	9	-5	16.3	19.1	-2.85	13.5	13.9	-0.44
Obi Toppin	20	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	8	-3	14.7	18.2	-3.50	12.3	14.0	-1.74
Isaiah Hartenstein	22	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	15	-17	17.3	17.5	-0.22	12.8	13.9	-1.12
Miles McBride	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	17	-21	15.9	17.7	-1.77	13.2	13.7	-0.52

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney McGruder	9	8	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-21	29	14.0	13.6	0.37	18.4	17.4	0.97
Isaiah Stewart	53	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-15	17	14.3	12.9	1.39	18.4	16.2	2.27
Isaiah Livers	73	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-10	7	14.1	12.0	2.12	17.8	16.2	1.58
Kevin Knox II	39	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-2	-9	13.2	14.0	-0.79	16.6	18.1	-1.54
Hamidou Diallo	39	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.13	-5	-8	3	12.4	14.6	-2.16	16.5	18.2	-1.73
Killian Hayes	65	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	14.1	12.6	1.52	18.3	15.6	2.74
Alec Burks	44	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	13.0	14.2	-1.22	16.5	18.3	-1.86
Saddiq Bey	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	7	-27	13.4	14.6	-1.17	17.5	17.6	-0.17
Jaden Ivey	71	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.05	-21	8	-29	13.9	12.9	0.99	17.3	18.2	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
ATL 132, IND 123	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CHH 96, SAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0	94.8%