NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	132		Excitement	4.8 [877]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +17.8%
Indiana Pacers	123		Comeback	1.2 [1187]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -4.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.02	0.04	14	76%	0.20	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	13	85%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	17	65%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	6	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Trae Young	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	13	47%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	15	81%	0.18	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Keifer Sykes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	89%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.05	7	69%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	8	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.07	19	60%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	28.6	14.6	27.3	1.7	38.2	137.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.2%

ATL +1.0%

ATL +11.4%

ATL +3.3%

ATL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	14.5	134.7	125.5	110.8
season	14.6	14.4		114.3	111.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		115.0	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.5	14.7	16.4	17.0	14.8
IND	15.6	13.5	14.9	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Johnson	33	34	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-7	23	14.2	15.1	-0.83	16.4	13.6	2.74
Onyeka Okongwu	34	34	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-5	19	14.6	14.9	-0.32	16.4	13.6	2.74
Trae Young	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	0	9	14.5	15.7	-1.26	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Bogdan Bogdanovic	57	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	1	7	15.1	14.4	0.61	15.2	13.8	1.37
Lou Williams	30	29	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	1	7	15.0	14.7	0.34	15.6	14.2	1.41
Delon Wright	65	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	4	1	14.4	15.5	-1.08	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Kevin Huerter	70	70	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	14	-19	14.9	14.4	0.51	14.1	15.7	-1.62
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	63	63	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	14	-19	15.3	13.9	1.46	13.6	16.5	-2.90
Clint Capela	64	64	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	14	-19	14.9	14.6	0.32	13.6	16.4	-2.74

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	15.3	14.3	0.97	15.6	14.4	1.24
Keifer Sykes	70	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-7	5	14.0	16.0	-2.02	14.9	14.5	0.36
Tyrese Haliburton	82	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-13	17	14.1	17.3	-3.25	15.0	13.7	1.32
Jalen Smith	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	14.3	14.9	-0.58	14.1	15.4	-1.32
Buddy Hield	79	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-8	7	14.1	16.6	-2.47	14.9	14.4	0.43
Goga Bitadze	60	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	0	-9	15.0	13.9	1.05	15.4	13.9	1.53
Justin Anderson	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	7	-23	15.5	13.4	2.13	14.3	15.4	-1.03
Terry Taylor	67	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	2	-13	15.2	13.3	1.86	14.3	16.0	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
OKC 111, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
HOU 112, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%