NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	4.5 [906]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +9.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.2 [910]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -5.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	79%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	23	60%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	23	52%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Conroy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Taylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	22	53%	0.11	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	7	94%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	9	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	11	57%	0.08	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	17	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	10	44%	0.01	5	-0.07	7	43%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	28.6	15.7	25.1	2.5	31.5	129.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.5%

HOU +0.6%

HOU +12.5%

HOU +3.3%

MIN -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	15.9	12.3	15.3	109.8	96.1	106.0
season	15.0	14.7		106.0	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	14.2	16.9	16.9	15.9
MIN	13.5	11.0	14.4	10.8	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	92	95	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.08	21	-7	28	15.8	16.9	-1.11	12.3	12.4	-0.10
Kevin Martin	85	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-5	24	16.2	14.5	1.65	12.8	9.9	2.92
Aaron Brooks	87	89	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-1	16	16.3	13.9	2.39	12.4	11.8	0.65
Jared Jeffries	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	-2	18	15.6	16.2	-0.67	11.0	13.7	-2.71
Chase Budinger	41	40	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	0	14	15.1	16.4	-1.26	12.0	12.5	-0.55
Charles Hayes	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	14	-14	16.4	15.6	0.86	13.5	11.5	1.97
Shane Battier	80	80	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.27	-8	22	-30	16.2	15.0	1.21	12.2	12.8	-0.56
Will Conroy	15	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	15	-16	13.9	16.3	-2.39	11.8	12.4	-0.65
Jermaine Taylor	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	14.0	15.9	-1.94	7.0	12.4	-5.39
Jordan Hill	14	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	18	-22	15.7	15.9	-0.22	14.2	12.1	2.17
Hilton Armstrong	3	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	16	-18	15.7	15.9	-0.24	6.0	12.5	-6.46

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	71	72	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-19	24	12.7	11.4	1.31	16.4	14.7	1.66
Ramon Sessions	43	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-20	26	11.2	13.2	-1.94	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Ryan Gomes	83	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-19	24	11.7	15.1	-3.34	16.0	15.2	0.83
Kevin Love	71	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-12	10	11.8	13.6	-1.79	15.5	16.9	-1.46
Sasha Pavlovic	15	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-5	-4	10.5	12.7	-2.19	16.8	15.8	0.99
Alando Tucker	7	7	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-1	-12	15.6	12.1	3.48	13.1	16.1	-2.96
Darko Milicic	68	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-4	-6	12.7	11.7	0.99	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Ryan Hollins	55	56	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-4	-6	12.3	12.4	-0.05	16.3	15.4	0.97
Jonny Flynn	59	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	6	-26	13.2	11.2	1.94	16.4	15.2	1.17
Damien Wilkins	38	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.16	-22	8	-30	13.6	11.6	1.94	15.3	16.3	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
PHI 104, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
ORL 90, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%