NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	4.4 [909]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +14.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	1.1 [618]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -15.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.03	19	65%	0.22	3	-0.08	13	85%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	13	73%	0.15	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	64%	0.08	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
James Posey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.01	0.06	13	58%	-0.00	1	-0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Gabe Pruitt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	39%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	17%	-0.09

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	17	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	46%	-0.02	2	-0.00	7	57%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	47%	-0.01	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	4	37%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.05	25	36%	-0.09	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	3.5	34.3	16.5	26.4	3.4	36.5	152.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.9%

BOS +3.1%

BOS +15.0%

LAL -3.7%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	15.4	108.9	89.2	105.7
season	15.6	14.6		108.0	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.9		104.1	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	12.8	16.0	14.4	14.3
LAL	14.8	15.4	14.0	12.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	-2	23	14.0	15.4	-1.47	14.0	14.3	-0.33
Tony Allen	86	89	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	-2	23	15.0	10.1	4.89	14.1	14.2	-0.17
Eddie House	60	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	4	11	12.8	16.5	-3.69	14.2	13.9	0.29
Ray Allen	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	2	15	16.0	12.2	3.86	14.5	13.6	0.86
Scot Pollard	22	24	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.22	17	2	15	14.2	14.3	-0.15	13.7	14.2	-0.43
Kendrick Perkins	54	53	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	12	-5	14.4	14.2	0.12	15.1	13.0	2.15
James Posey	67	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	8	3	13.1	16.7	-3.59	13.0	16.2	-3.20
Kevin Garnett	62	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	16	-13	15.1	13.1	1.99	14.8	13.0	1.88
Leon Powe	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	14.5	14.3	0.21	15.0	14.1	0.93
Gabe Pruitt	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	23	-27	14.0	14.3	-0.31	8.2	14.3	-6.07
Glen Davis	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	21	-23	10.3	14.5	-4.21	12.4	14.2	-1.76
Brian Scalabrine	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.19	-10	29	-39	16.1	14.1	1.99	12.6	14.2	-1.58

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	9	9	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.07	5	-24	29	14.7	14.0	0.65	13.1	14.4	-1.30
Ronny Turiaf	23	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-22	25	10.4	15.1	-4.70	14.3	14.3	0.07
Javaris Crittenton	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-11	3	13.3	14.5	-1.16	14.7	14.1	0.68
Derek Fisher	51	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-17	15	15.0	13.2	1.80	14.7	13.9	0.85
Andrew Bynum	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.21	-13	-6	-7	15.4	13.0	2.43	14.2	14.4	-0.26
Sasha Vujacic	19	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-12	5	14.0	14.1	-0.10	10.1	15.1	-5.03
Luke Walton	31	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-13	7	12.6	14.7	-2.11	12.9	14.9	-1.99
Trevor Ariza	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-8	-3	15.0	13.1	1.92	14.6	14.0	0.55
Kobe Bryant	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-10	1	13.9	14.8	-0.90	14.8	12.7	2.02
Jordan Farmar	51	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-2	-15	13.2	15.0	-1.80	13.9	14.7	-0.85
Kwame Brown	33	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-10	1	14.8	13.8	1.00	14.5	14.2	0.23
Lamar Odom	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	2	-23	14.5	12.1	2.46	15.0	11.1	3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
NOP 111, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
OKC 111, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%