NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	104		Excitement	6.9 [453]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +26.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	112		Comeback	1.4 [964]		LVP	CJ McCollum (NOP): -9.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.01	9	65%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Amir Coffey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.03	5	80%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	15	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Paul George	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	21	58%	0.15	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Terance Mann	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Tucker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.16	0.01	21	65%	0.33	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.04
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.13	-0.01	10	70%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	6	75%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	5	90%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	12	46%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	13	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	28.4	14.8	30.7	1.7	28.2	128.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +34.5%

LAC -16.6%

NOP +16.6%

NOP +14.0%

NOP +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	14.5	109.5	115.5	113.9
season	14.9	14.4		116.6	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.4		111.0	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	16.0	14.0	15.2	14.9
NOP	14.4	14.7	15.5	16.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	11	12	0.17	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-15	22	13.1	15.1	-1.99	18.5	14.7	3.83
Terance Mann	37	38	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-11	14	14.0	15.4	-1.40	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Daniel Theis	16	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-7	6	14.2	15.0	-0.80	13.1	15.5	-2.46
Bones Hyland	48	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-7	6	15.1	14.6	0.55	14.2	16.3	-2.14
Kawhi Leonard	76	77	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-8	8	14.6	15.8	-1.17	15.3	14.5	0.75
P.J. Tucker	46	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-6	4	15.2	14.5	0.67	14.8	15.5	-0.75
Amir Coffey	44	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	6	-20	14.7	15.0	-0.36	16.1	14.4	1.76
Paul George	84	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	1	-10	14.9	14.2	0.76	14.7	17.9	-3.21
Norman Powell	50	50	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	3	-14	14.7	15.0	-0.28	16.1	14.2	1.89
Ivica Zubac	63	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.29	-12	4	-16	15.8	13.0	2.75	15.1	15.2	-0.07

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zion Williamson	73	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-3	14	14.7	16.4	-1.69	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Larry Nance Jr.	56	53	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-1	10	15.2	15.1	0.08	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Trey Murphy III	63	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	0	8	15.7	14.1	1.67	14.9	14.8	0.07
Herbert Jones	67	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	2	4	15.3	14.8	0.45	15.1	14.2	0.91
Jose Alvarado	29	30	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	3	2	15.0	15.2	-0.16	14.9	14.8	0.02
Brandon Ingram	71	69	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	7	-6	15.1	15.2	-0.07	15.1	14.3	0.75
Naji Marshall	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	6	-4	15.6	15.0	0.65	14.0	15.2	-1.21
CJ McCollum	60	58	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	8	-8	15.0	15.4	-0.33	15.3	14.2	1.09
Jonas Valanciunas	38	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	10	-12	14.7	15.5	-0.80	14.9	14.8	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 100, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%
MIL 111, NYK 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1	93.4%
LAC 83, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.4%