NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	113		Excitement	5.1 [778]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): +26.5%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	2.2 [881]		LVP	Ochai Agbaji (TOR): -10.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	0.01	9	80%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Markelle Fultz	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	8	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.05	10	68%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Franz Wagner	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	73%	0.10	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.10	0.05	-0.06	15	47%	0.16	6	-0.14	6	100%	0.04
Caleb Houstan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.27	0.04	0.04	17	79%	0.27	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jahmi'us Ramsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	82%	0.19	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	8	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	12	38%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	42%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Jontay Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	9	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	9	44%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	28.5	15.5	33.2	2.6	26.2	134.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +19.9%

ORL +18.5%

ORL +5.3%

ORL +5.5%

ORL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	14.5	115.3	106.2	113.9
season	15.1	14.0		111.8	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.4		117.6	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.0	13.4	15.6	17.9	15.4
TOR	13.2	16.6	13.2	13.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Suggs	60	61	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-3	16	15.6	15.1	0.54	14.1	14.0	0.15
Paolo Banchero	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	2	6	15.6	15.0	0.60	13.9	14.5	-0.61
Franz Wagner	65	65	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	14.8	16.7	-1.85	14.2	13.8	0.37
Joe Ingles	33	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	3	4	14.4	16.0	-1.53	14.3	14.0	0.32
Wendell Carter Jr.	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	2	6	16.0	14.7	1.24	14.3	13.8	0.46
Jonathan Isaac	43	41	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	8	-6	14.7	16.0	-1.24	13.8	14.3	-0.46
Gary Harris	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	5	0	15.3	15.6	-0.34	14.3	13.9	0.39
Markelle Fultz	34	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	9	-8	16.3	15.0	1.26	14.1	14.1	-0.00
Moritz Wagner	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	8	-6	15.0	15.6	-0.60	14.5	13.9	0.61
Cole Anthony	46	43	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	10	-10	15.8	15.1	0.77	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Caleb Houstan	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	20.0	15.2	4.81	13.2	14.2	-0.99

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Nwora	34	35	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-21	32	12.7	14.9	-2.18	15.5	15.4	0.03
Jahmi'us Ramsey	35	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-15	20	13.5	14.5	-0.99	15.5	15.4	0.14
Jontay Porter	55	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-13	16	13.5	14.9	-1.43	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Kelly Olynyk	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	14.8	13.3	1.42	15.8	15.0	0.87
Ochai Agbaji	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	13.9	14.5	-0.59	16.0	14.2	1.77
Bruce Brown	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-5	0	13.5	15.0	-1.47	15.9	14.8	1.10
Gary Trent Jr.	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	14.0	14.2	-0.18	15.7	15.0	0.71
Immanuel Quickley	69	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	2	-14	14.9	12.2	2.69	15.0	16.5	-1.44
Gradey Dick	50	47	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	0.13	-32	22	-54	15.4	12.7	2.74	14.0	16.8	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.31,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 112, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.07,0,0.04,0,0,0	94.4%
PHI 77, NOH 62	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CLE 85, NJN 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.48,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	93.7%