NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	5.3 [801]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +16.8%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.7 [382]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): -11.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.17	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	14	79%	0.21	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	14	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	20	52%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	18	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	12	83%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	18	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	21	43%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.6	28.5	17.0	33.0	2.8	34.0	142.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +59.7%

SAC -2.8%

SAC -9.3%

MIN +0.9%

MIN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.5	117.9	105.3	104.0
season	15.8	14.7		106.2	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.9		106.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	14.7	14.4	17.7	15.4
SAC	16.0	17.2	14.4	12.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-1	14	15.3	15.5	-0.22	14.2	17.0	-2.75
Kevin Garnett	75	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	3	6	15.1	16.4	-1.29	14.1	17.9	-3.75
Eddie Griffin	46	45	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	9	-6	15.8	14.9	0.91	15.7	14.2	1.51
Sam Cassell	47	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	2	8	14.2	16.6	-2.39	15.4	14.5	0.88
Wally Szczerbiak	43	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	7	-2	14.3	16.2	-1.92	17.0	13.4	3.65
Trenton Hassell	62	64	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	11	-10	16.3	13.7	2.53	13.5	17.8	-4.26
Troy Hudson	48	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	10	-8	16.6	14.2	2.39	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Michael Olowokandi	46	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	3	6	15.5	15.2	0.32	14.5	15.3	-0.80
John Thomas	14	15	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	7	-2	15.5	15.4	0.14	18.3	14.3	3.95
Fred Hoiberg	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	9	-6	15.4	15.4	-0.02	17.6	14.1	3.47
Anthony Carter	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	12	-12	0.0	15.5	-15.54	4.0	15.1	-11.05

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	21	22	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-19	26	16.5	14.5	1.98	17.0	14.9	2.11
Corliss Williamson	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-13	14	15.9	14.7	1.22	16.9	15.0	1.93
Maurice Evans	35	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-5	-2	14.8	15.0	-0.26	15.9	15.1	0.83
Darius Songaila	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-3	-6	16.3	14.4	1.94	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Kenny Thomas	74	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-7	2	14.7	15.9	-1.18	15.5	15.1	0.37
Brian Skinner	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	0	-12	15.4	14.3	1.06	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Peja Stojakovic	87	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-5	-2	14.5	19.2	-4.71	15.5	14.4	1.10
Cuttino Mobley	83	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	14.7	16.7	-1.98	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Mike Bibby	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	7	-26	14.5	16.5	-1.98	14.9	17.0	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.07,0,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 127, NOP 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHI 77, NOH 62	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
SEA 101, GSW 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%