inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 119 Excitement6.7 [483] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +24.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 126 Comeback1.4 [1127] LVPP.J. Washington (DAL): -22.2%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daniel Gafford0.190,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.110.090.001176%0.262-0.073100%0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.150.160.030.031382%0.202-0.052100%0.00
Kyrie Irving0.130,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.130.24-0.030.081882%0.274-0.148100%0.05
Derrick Jones Jr.0.060,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.01683%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Dereck Lively II0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.03250%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Josh Green-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jaden Hardy-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.021043%0.033-0.061100%0.00
Dante Exum-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.02839%0.014-0.122100%0.01
P.J. Washington-0.220,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22-0.18-0.05-0.001120%-0.182-0.05850%-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.170.05-0.021666%0.261-0.021580%0.01
Jalen Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.080.110.022161%0.243-0.072100%0.01
Chet Holmgren0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.060.01685%0.1600.001100%0.00
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.04-0.02360%0.0900.004100%0.03
Luguentz Dort0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00963%0.101-0.031100%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00383%0.0600.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.011464%0.123-0.0600%0.00
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.00757%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Mike Muscala00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lindy Waters III00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00275%0.062-0.0700%0.00
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00350%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.33.330.816.829.43.433.6145.6
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +36.1%
OKC +0.4%
DAL -6.6%
OKC +17.3%
OKC +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALOKCNBADALOKCNBA
this game14.214.314.5117.8124.8113.9
season14.313.9115.6117.1
opponent14.714.6109.7113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.414.214.013.414.2
OKC14.614.112.616.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.63660.07-0.570.65-0.3113-203314.314.10.2814.014.8-0.78
Josh Green990.01-0.510.52-0.021-8915.814.11.7013.114.4-1.29
Dereck Lively II2727-0.10-0.400.31-0.04-2-5316.113.52.5714.014.4-0.39
Jaden Hardy3736-0.20-0.300.10-0.200-7714.314.20.1113.614.7-1.05
Dante Exum4945-0.22-0.280.060.02-81-914.214.3-0.0914.314.30.00
Maxi Kleber4141-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.10-6-1-514.713.90.8514.913.91.04
P.J. Washington7679-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.321-8913.516.3-2.7813.915.5-1.55
Daniel Gafford5855-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.14-70-713.914.7-0.7814.514.10.37
Kyrie Irving7981-0.550.05-0.60-0.26-103-1314.314.10.1214.413.80.55
Derrick Jones Jr.6666-0.620.12-0.73-0.12-1710-2713.914.9-1.0115.013.01.93

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander77760.67-0.170.840.2016-92514.513.60.9214.214.4-0.28
Luguentz Dort60590.51-0.010.530.259-21115.412.72.7013.515.2-1.73
Gordon Hayward44420.300.200.100.1261513.814.7-0.9115.413.42.01
Isaiah Joe36350.230.27-0.040.0370714.714.00.6815.613.52.06
Kenrich Williams13130.200.30-0.100.0843113.614.4-0.7715.514.01.50
Jaylin Williams18200.170.33-0.150.0643116.413.82.5614.614.10.53
Jalen Williams78770.170.33-0.160.32-512-1714.214.5-0.2513.616.4-2.82
Chet Holmgren71710.150.35-0.210.18-18-914.114.8-0.6813.715.4-1.72
Josh Giddey49500.090.41-0.310.12-18-914.214.4-0.2413.914.6-0.73
Mike Muscala100.040.46-0.42-0.0225-312.014.3-2.310.014.2-14.23
Lindy Waters III100.040.46-0.42-0.0225-312.014.3-2.310.014.2-14.23
Cason Wallace36380.020.48-0.470.11-310-1312.915.1-2.2214.813.90.98
Aaron Wiggins2124-0.090.59-0.680.06-512-1713.114.6-1.4414.614.10.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.9,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 110, HOU 1300.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.63,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.8%
DET 85, LAL 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.93,0.84,0.95,0.92,193.1%
CLE 84, NJN 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.76,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,193.1%